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Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads) Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads)

11-06-2010 , 07:36 PM
Hi!

wondering where you guys are testing your systems before playing.. I have made a few systems that I think is
good but I think I need to test them first before playing them at a casino.

I could do it manually but it would take me a month at least. Any suggestions of what I need to do?

regards
Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads) Quote
11-06-2010 , 07:59 PM
Hi I have the following qustion
In Roulette (0,00) board, what is the probability that any number will not have hit by the 200th spin?
Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads) Quote
11-06-2010 , 08:27 PM
No-one is testing any systems because it is trivially obvious that they all lose. You do not need to test your system manually, it will lose. There is no way to beat roulette. There is about a 1 in 200 chance that a given number won't hit after 200 spins on a wheel with 38 different values (37/38)^200
Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads) Quote
11-07-2010 , 03:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kenton
Hi!

wondering where you guys are testing your systems before playing.. I have made a few systems that I think is
good but I think I need to test them first before playing them at a casino.

I could do it manually but it would take me a month at least. Any suggestions of what I need to do?

regards
Roulette is a game of fixed odds, with a constant negative expectation of 2/38 for every possible bet. There is absolutely nothing to be tested, and no system exists or can exist that changes the expectation of the game. All you can do with a betting system is manipulate the distribution of losses, to be more smaller ones or fewer bigger ones.
Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads) Quote
11-07-2010 , 07:12 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Kenton
Hi!

wondering where you guys are testing your systems before playing.. I have made a few systems that I think is
good but I think I need to test them first before playing them at a casino.

I could do it manually but it would take me a month at least. Any suggestions of what I need to do?

regards
I have worked as a roulette dealer. There is no way in hell anyone can beat roulette. There are only two ways of beating roulette legally:

a. The house has no roof when it comes to betting, in which case if you have infite amount of money you could double on red/black everytime you lose and start over when you win.
b. The dealer spins the ball in a predictable manner. I have asked dealers who have worked ONLY dealing roulette for 20+years. Some of them are toptop in the world. They are so silly good it's ridiculous. Not one of them thought they could predict the outcome of their own spin. Not one. And trust me, they have tried.

And if you're really talking numbers and think there's any magical way in which you can win, I suggest you read up on statistics and gambler's fallacy as you're really just a huge sucker. You can't beat roulette. Stop chasing your losses and face it.
Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads) Quote
11-10-2010 , 10:45 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by spadebidder
Roulette is a game of fixed odds, with a constant negative expectation of 2/38 for every possible bet.
Sorry to be a little pedantic Spadebidder... can I add the proviso that the 'first five' bet has a higher negative expectation, and every bet in single-zero roulette has a 1/37 negative expectation.
Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads) Quote
11-10-2010 , 12:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by hepzebah
Sorry to be a little pedantic Spadebidder... can I add the proviso that the 'first five' bet has a higher negative expectation, and every bet in single-zero roulette has a 1/37 negative expectation.
Not pedantic. I left out the five number bet for simplicity, but yes the house enjoys 1.5x the advantage they have on other bets because they pay an even 6:1 on that bet. I think everyone gets the difference between American and European style wheels.
Roulette Probability and System Testing (merged threads) Quote

      
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