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probability question regarding weighted range probability question regarding weighted range

09-07-2009 , 09:30 AM
Hello. I have a cbet range that consists of full hands and some % of hands in 3/4 1/2 and 1/4 values.
So, for instance, in certain spots ill find it profitable to raise 67s UTG which will amount to 1/4 of the time or 78s 1/2 the time ect..

Since iv been adding up my cbet, bet/fold and bet/3bet combos on different board textures, iv been having difficulties in assigning the correct combos to these weighted values, such as 78s on 2c 4d 5c in which i will bet/fold 7d8d 7h8h 7s8s but ill bet/3bet 7c8c or 67s on 9s 7c 2s ill c/c 67s or c-r 6s7s. This creates a dilema(a small one i know but im a perfectionist) for me since there is only going to be 2 combos of 78s showing up in my range and not allways clubs. So, since i give 2combos of 78s in my cbet range, how many combos/what % or fraction should i give 78s in my bet/fold or bet/3bet range please?

Thanks for reading, and any insight would be greatly appreciated.
probability question regarding weighted range Quote
09-07-2009 , 07:45 PM
So the percentage of your bet/3bet range is just #of 3bethands/#hands in your range. There are one combos of 78s you bet/3bet with that you play with half the time pre, so they would count as 1*.5= 0.5 hands.

So say you bet/3bet with 78c and 99 in this situation there are .5 78s and 1 99 so 78s makes up 33.3% of your range. I don't think you have to do anything fancy here.
probability question regarding weighted range Quote
09-08-2009 , 06:15 AM
Thnx a lot
probability question regarding weighted range Quote
09-08-2009 , 03:46 PM
actually i made a mistake here in my example, there are 3 combos of 99 (assuming you play 99 preflop 100% of the time) so 78s would be .5/3.5=14.2% but you get the idea
probability question regarding weighted range Quote

      
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