probability of over-cards
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,957
Hi Guys -
Sorry for the elementary question, I'm bad at probability.
What is the probability of over-cards landing on the flop in hold'em.
For example, if the Hero holds 88.
What is the probability of one over card on the flop? two over cards? and 3 over-card?
More advanced...what if the Villain holds A2? of AJ?
Thx in advance. I can probably figure out how to calculate in the future if u show the math.
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,957
bump...can anyone help me with the first part?
what is the probably of two over cards and 3 overcards landing on the flop if the Hero holds 88?
thx again.
Join Date: Aug 2005
Posts: 477
There are 50 unknown cards, so the number of possible flops is
50 choose 3 = (50*49*48)/(3*2*1)
If you're holding 88o there are 24 overcards (A-9 * 4) so there are
(24 choose 0) * (26 choose 3) = 1 * (26*25*24)/(3*2*1)
ways to have no overcards
(24 choose 1) * (26 choose 2) = 24/1 * (26*25)/(2*1)
ways to have one overcard
(24 choose 2) * (25 choose 1) = (24*23)/(2*1) * 26/1
ways to have two overcards
(24 choose 3) * (25 choose 0) = (24*23*22)/(3*2*1) * 1
ways to have three overcards.
So you can take the fractions to figure out your probabilities.
Join Date: Jun 2005
Posts: 3,957
Join Date: Dec 2005
Posts: 613
