Quote:
Originally Posted by NSM_7
I'm having a hard time seeing where you got 20%. OP quotes 5% or 1 out of 20 flops not 1 out of 5 flops. Thanks for the calculations. It's definately true when they say ignorance is bliss. Asking for the numbers and seeing the results really makes me despise internet poker. I don't play internet poker very much and when I do it's mainly satellites where tracking my hand history shows that I see on average maybe 150 hands in a single tourney. Yet all my posts about probability show that these scenarios happen way more than they mathematically should.
Aaron is right.
If the probability of flopping a flush is 5% as you say, then the probability of flopping a flush in "any" of the 4 suits is 4*5% = 20%
Aaron has pointed out why this doesn't make much sense. Do you see a monotone flop (in any suit) 1 in 5 times?