I don't think the shover's range is picked specifically to do bad against 55 since it includes stuff like 87o JTs T6s etc. I assigned the overcallers a range of 99+ AQ+, which should be about right. Do you want me to write down the calculations? The only thing I didn't bother calculating is that the final pot isn't 11880 when one of the blind calls but that should be a really small difference.
The shover is basically almost committed next hand so I don't see him being tighter than what I gave him very often.
edit : by removing a few hands and having him shove 22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q2s+,J7s+,T8s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,65s,A2 o+,K2o+,Q8o+,J8o+,T9o (47.81%) then we get 53.92% equity, which is the same.
I don't see how you get a 1.4xBB gain, because even if you win 54% of the time against the short stack, you gain maybe 1.6xBB if you isolate. However, you should lose at least an average of 1.1xBB from overcalls.
I don't see why the short stack should be pushing over 50% UTG. I think the 31% that Nash recommends is about correct.
OKAY I might have made a tiny little error, we get +33.98 chips by shoving so like 1/10thbb I still don't see any <5blind stack folding any of the above hands tho.
OKAY I might have made a tiny little error, we get +33.98 chips by shoving so like 1/10thbb I still don't see any <5blind stack folding any of the above hands tho.
We are not worried by the shover, but more the people behind left to act.. ie: if we were in the bb and was the last to act pre this would be an easy call.
I still don't see any <5blind stack folding any of the above hands tho.
