Villan hand range for river push? Help please. - MTT Poker Strategy

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Villan hand range for river push? Help please.

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09-13-2009 , 05:03 PM

Seamas111

grinder

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 550

No stats on villan

Poker Stars $5.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t15/t30 Blinds - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: t8925 M = 198.33
SB: t9270 M = 206
Hero (BB): t7130 M = 158.44
UTG: t8015 M = 178.11
UTG+1: t2390 M = 53.11
MP1: t2000 M = 44.44
MP2: t2560 M = 56.89
CO: t2210 M = 49.11

Pre Flop: (t45) Hero is BB with 7

UTG calls t30, 4 folds, BTN calls t30, SB calls t15, Hero checks

Flop: (t120) 6

(4 players)
SB checks, Hero bets t90, UTG folds, BTN calls t90, SB folds

Turn: (t300) 4

(2 players)
Hero bets t210, BTN calls t210

River: (t720) A

(2 players)
Hero bets t450, BTN raises to t8595 all in, Hero ??????

Can anyone help with narrowing down a range for villan.... thanks.

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09-13-2009 , 05:44 PM

Loretta8

knows her Big Ten

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 21,899

thats pretty gross, i mean he would have to be the biggest moron ever for you to be ahead, i'd OPR him and re-evaluate. how did he get so deep this early?

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09-13-2009 , 05:58 PM

paul rizzo

old hand

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,906

Yea you UTG and BTN and SB are all crazy deep.

Anyway, This is one of those spots you would kill just for a little history. but it seems that the villian knows what you have and he want your big stack, so he's probaly got you beat. not too many hands make sense for the villian here though. He played it like he flopped quads. A6 should have raised before the river for sure. 44 shouldn't have called on the flop but some donks would. QQ and AA are just unlikely. better trips is possible but it seems he would raise less.

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09-14-2009 , 04:31 AM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

thats such a snap call in a 5$

he may have hit his A OTR but im not giving him credit for a set/beeing full. there aint much 6s in his range as well + the busted flush draw makes this a call IMO.

maybe he had 44 but thats it.

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