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Too thin value bet on the river? Too thin value bet on the river?

09-19-2015 , 04:58 PM
The way he played, i think he can have a flush (statistically unlikely), a flush draw, a weak Q, or a worst J. He is not paying with a flush draw, so a bet from me its just good against a jack. Then, bet on the river or not?

PokerStars - $10+$1|700/1400 Ante 175 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: 52,053 (VPIP: 28.00, PFR: 12.00, 3Bet Preflop: 37.50, Hands: 25)
MP+2: 33,989 (VPIP: 32.00, PFR: 20.83, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 25)
CO: 4,045 (VPIP: 46.15, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 14)
BTN: 42,442 (VPIP: 5.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
SB: 32,146 (VPIP: 9.52, PFR: 9.52, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
BB: 43,825 (VPIP: 28.00, PFR: 28.00, 3Bet Preflop: 22.22, Hands: 25)
UTG: 19,867 (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
Hero (UTG+1): 48,651
MP: 55,500 (VPIP: 4.00, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 25)

9 players post ante of 175, SB posts SB 700, BB posts BB 1,400

Pre Flop: (pot: 3,675) Hero has J A

fold, Hero raises to 3,100, fold, MP+1 calls 3,100, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (9,875, 2 players) J Q 2
Hero checks, MP+1 checks

Turn: (9,875, 2 players) 6
Hero bets 4,730, MP+1 calls 4,730

River: (19,335, 2 players) 2
Hero checks, MP+1 checks,
Too thin value bet on the river? Quote
09-21-2015 , 05:50 AM
if you're in position id definitely consider value betting. hope he pays you off with like a worst j or a pp with a spade in it. Make it like 40% of pot.

since you're oop though, i think i don't mind checking hoping to induce a bet from villain purely because i don't wanna bet and get raised to like 22k or something.
Too thin value bet on the river? Quote
09-21-2015 , 08:14 AM
C/c to give him the chance to bet missed draws
Too thin value bet on the river? Quote
09-21-2015 , 01:52 PM
thanks!
Too thin value bet on the river? Quote

      
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