Open Side Menu Go to the Top
Register
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Stars  70K...wtf turn spot

09-24-2009 , 11:59 PM
Villain folding small pair to flop c-bet: I said it might induce a fold, which I stand by. Level of play in $50buyin MTTs is still absolutely atrocious sometimes and I assure you some players will make a bad fold with 55 there. Still, that part of villain's range is small so not really the essence here.

I think stack sizes ARE the essence. It's such a shallow situation that we simply cannot afford to not be the aggressor on this flop. If we check the flop, I dare say 90-95% of villains are betting the turn with any two cards - and then what do we do? (assuming the turn misses us). Effective stacks only allow us to fold.

The value in this spot, IMO, is our range vs his range and not handing the reigns over to villain who will almost surely spank our BE-hinds with them! His calling range and the flop texture means we're ahead way more often than not and that edge (even if marginal) is best exploited by betting.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 12:04 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Foks
Just because its passive poker doesn't make it weak. Using the word "weak" seems to suggest the play is "wrong", .
Yep spot on sorry not suggesting its a bad play just imo a little too passive for my liking. I do liek to cbet though

Good discussion though as this is a sticky spot we get in a lot. Good to hear the otherside of the argument.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 12:27 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Ch3wi3
I can see everyones point who wants to check this flop but checking back and folding turn to a bet just seems weak. Again it looks like one of those situations where both options are viable its just how you want to play it.

IMO I cbet the flop and fold to a raise, if I get called then I re-evaluate on turn. Yes there is a chance we get raised or flatted on this board but also a good percentage villian folds to our cbet.

If we check back what card are we hoping for OTT for us to feel confident that we are ahead?

I just dont like shutting down with AQ just because its a paired board and FD.

Anyway lets keep the discussion going.
I would call a normal sized bet OTT, his overshove on the hand...
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 12:42 AM
Ask to see 1 card.

if he refuses...I'd consider folding.

Should be a really easy fold for you, you play for a living man.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 12:44 AM
If the turn is a 5c does it change anything?
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 12:45 AM
stack sizes suck for a c bet to be honest. the board texture is great for a c bet dont know what any of you are talking about its the stacks sizes that suck

fold the turn
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:02 AM
this is a very important hand to post as it illustrates a point that people just dont seem to understand. if you have AK AQ here then betting is way worse than if you have complete junk. in the past betting would get better hands to fold weak pairs would fold but nowdays they wont. so no better hands are folding v the average villain. some worse hands are going to bluff you off the pot when you bet and most are going to fold. but the worse hands often only have 3 outs as weak aces are a huge part of their range. so i just think its generally better to check here. as cbets are only good when better hands fold or worse hands call. and when you have Ak or AQ that will almost never happen whether the board is paired or not.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:09 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by RandomGuy2
Nobody who called pre with a pocket pair is folding any of them on that flop, and almost all of them are going to get stuffed right back in our face if we c-bet. The same goes for FDs. Villain then also folds almost every hand we have beat when we bet, so I think checking is by far the better option.
I can't argue with this reasoning, however, isn't one of the reasons we cbet to avoid this turnspot?

I mean, he could have a lot of stuff other than PP's and flushdraws, so a cbet will take it down more often than not, right?

But if we check, isn't there a chance, maybe even a good chance, that he will bet a whole bunch of hands on the turn, most of which we beat, but we still have to fold?

Obviously getting c/r on the flop sucks, but if he c/c, I think we could get to see a river cheap, as we certainly check back on the turn.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:11 AM
we dont fold turn. we call. thats the whole point. when we cbet we achieve nothing. when we check flop and call turn we achieve a lot.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:12 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by norwoodmatt1010
we dont fold turn. we call. thats the whole point. when we cbet we achieve nothing. when we check flop and call turn we achieve a lot.
So you are saying ssnyc should have called this? Or do you have a pain threshold for how big a turnbet you will call?
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:23 AM
no im not saying we should call here with AQ. what im saying is that if villain wants to shove turn then great. as there are a ton of hands i would check this flop with that i would snap call villains shove with and often they would be drawing dead or be at least a 4/1 underdog. so against my raising pre and checking flop range its a play i want to see villain make on turn. but in general villain is going to either check or bet around half the pot and i would check it back to them or call the half pot bet. i would play a lot of big hands like this as well so i want villain to bet the turn. as usually they are just donating chips. as sure there is a FD but its HU and we have to let villain spew off their chips as people like to do in situations like this. and sure they may have a PP or a T or AK or they may thit their 3 outer (or maybe its a 6 outer) then they are going to win some chips from me. and if they fire again on the river then i have a decision to make. but again i want them to fire again on river. as against my raise pre, check flop, call turn range here they are just donating chips.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:33 AM
OK, I see what you mean, and I have no problem seeing the merits of checking back the flop, but for me, I have to say cbet is better, probably because I open a lot wider than you do.

And that leads me to the flaw I see in the way you would play it. If you only continue with hands that are good on a board like this, then yeah, you could find those sweet situations when they shove against you and you have them dominated, but it seems to me that you'd lose an awful lot of hands by giving up if you whiff flop.

Like I said, for me, it wouldn't work at all, because I open so frequently that I'd lose a ton of chips if I give up on hands that doesn't hit the flop.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:38 AM
im not giving up. im calling all reasonable bets on turn. and if they choose to shove turn they are gifting me chips v my range.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:40 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by norwoodmatt1010
im not giving up. im calling all reasonable bets on turn. and if they choose to shove turn they are gifting me chips v my range.
I just think that the problem with calling "reasonable" bets on the turn, is that if the guy is decent, you will face another bet on the river without having a clue were you are at in the hand.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:43 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by unrealzeal
i need some reads not to cbet
ugh...percentages percentages percentages

how often villain flats made hands on the SB? folds them to C-bet? how often AQhigh is good omg...there is no standard way here except if sb flats often he will have a hand less often if he rarely flats he will have a hand more often that beats AQ or he flatted a pair for only it's set value (what's your vpip?)...if you bet here it's a bet on having the best hand + getting villain to fold I dunno but how can you think there is any STANDARD play here...it's poker those who can add and subtract win

by default...bet because people fold more often coz it's hard to hit a hand AQ high is best a lot but it looks like OP made the right read so the hand is friggin trivial anyway
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:43 AM
thats what i want villain to do. as i am way ahead of villains river betting range with my raise pre check flop call turn range!
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 01:48 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by unrealzeal

by default...bet because people fold more often coz it's hard to hit a hand AQ high is best a lot
Think this is very well said.... and Norwood, I don't really get what you are saying at all. In this particular hand, are you calling turn/river?
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 03:40 AM
kenny - seems you and I agree on the basics in this hand, with reference to my last entry in this thread.

As for Norwood, I recognize what you're trying to say and your argument is usually fine, if it weren't for the stacks involved here. If this was a deeper situation, checking the flop in order to check-call turn and evaluate on river is fine, but there's no room to do so here.

Original poster - seems you've received quite a few varying responses. Choose your 'best' one wisely!
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 04:14 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by norwoodmatt1010
im not giving up. im calling all reasonable bets on turn. and if they choose to shove turn they are gifting me chips v my range.
Quote:
Originally Posted by kenny7
I just think that the problem with calling "reasonable" bets on the turn, is that if the guy is decent, you will face another bet on the river without having a clue were you are at in the hand.
If they are decent they aren't folding to a flop cbet either. Plus if they bet turn & river, you have a fair amount of info about their range.

I would check behind flop, you have the best hand sometimes, getting CRed sucks & backdoor flush/straight draws. Turn fold is fine...FWIW he was probably check/shoving flop anyway & missed.
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 05:24 AM
considering villains stack when he calls our raise pre, what hand is he actually folding to a Cbet?

all pairs are calling if not c/r and all draws will do the same. i think our hand is more of a bluff cbet than anything if we decide to cbet here.

the only hand folding here is KQ and the only hand we are getting value out of is AJ imo
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 05:09 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by kenny7
I just think that the problem with calling "reasonable" bets on the turn, is that if the guy is decent, you will face another bet on the river without having a clue were you are at in the hand.
Just because we are guessing doesn't mean that it isn't the best play. This spot is very similar to the KK on a Axx flop problem, where checking, especially IP is normally the best play
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 05:35 PM
ok, why does this thread have over 45 posts? I fail what you need to discuss there. everything is played fine
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote
09-25-2009 , 05:52 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by HotKarlMC
ok, why does this thread have over 45 posts? I fail what you need to discuss there. everything is played fine
in after 47
Stars  70K...wtf turn spot Quote

      
m