Stars 4.40/180 Lategame - 55 UTG vs UTG+1 shove, priced in to call? - MTT Poker Strategy

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Stars 4.40/180 Lategame - 55 UTG vs UTG+1 shove, priced in to call?

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01-13-2010 , 04:51 PM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

Poker Stars $4.00+$0.40 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t500/t1000 Blinds + t100 - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP2: t19660 M = 8.19
CO: t35297 M = 14.71
BTN: t36616 M = 15.26
SB: t18279 M = 7.62
BB: t14150 M = 5.90
Hero (UTG): t48273 M = 20.11
UTG+1: t13868 M = 5.78
UTG+2: t22542 M = 9.39
MP1: t61315 M = 25.55

Pre Flop: (t2400) Hero is UTG with 5

Hero raises to t2420, UTG+1 raises to t13768 all in

villain is 7.2/6.5 3% 3bet over 139 hands
i've not been crazy lately. table seemed tight enough to open light.

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01-13-2010 , 05:00 PM

M1cKmAcK

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Apr 2007 Posts: 3,713

good open, but no you're not priced in a fold is std here.

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01-13-2010 , 05:01 PM

kennabot

journeyman

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 344

If my math is right you need to call 11,349 to win 18,588 like 1.6 to 1 vs an nitty shove after your utg raise. I think you can fold fairly easily.

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01-13-2010 , 05:06 PM

blind squirrel

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 8,195

Std fold imo.

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01-13-2010 , 05:08 PM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

i think i need like 37% Equity here

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 31.509% 31.27% 00.24% 179927136 1353756.00 { 55 }
Hand 1: 68.491% 68.26% 00.24% 392699496 1353756.00 { 99+, AQs+, AKo }

sounds about right?

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01-13-2010 , 05:30 PM

mullen

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 17,558

Your range is prob a bit tight, don't think he folds AQo or 88, either way this is a fold.

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