Stars $22 180 (non turbo) quick pre call spot - MTT Poker Strategy

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Stars $22 180 (non turbo) quick pre call spot

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11-03-2008 , 10:05 PM

ssnyc

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 38,129

about 1/3 of the way through...I built my stack early and have been sniping here and there...just raised the last pot so don't know if that changes anything. Call or fold here?

Poker Stars $20+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t25/t50 Blinds - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: t1655
SB: t1820
BB: t1937
UTG: t3613
Hero (UTG+1): t4535
MP1: t1990
MP2: t1135
CO: t885

Pre Flop: (t75) Hero is UTG+1 with J

1 fold, Hero raises to t150, 2 folds, CO raises to t885 all in, 3 folds, Hero 735 to call?

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11-03-2008 , 10:17 PM

swifttarrow

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 3,269

You only need 40% equity to call. Stove is your friend.

Estimating:

50% even money
33% dominated
16% you're ahead, but prob not by much. (maybe 60/40)

.5(50%) + (1/3)(25%) + (1/6)(60%) = 25+8.3+10 = 43.3%. --> call.

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11-03-2008 , 10:18 PM

jchauvin

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 4,761

at a glance i probably sigh and call

after stoving against like AJ+ KQ+ 66+ youre 38% and thats what you need to be, or something around there

difference between calling and folding is actually pretty negligible

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11-03-2008 , 11:43 PM

Zima421

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2007 Posts: 18,973

call...and win against a5...

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11-04-2008 , 01:26 AM

Thamel18

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 10,223

By generalization of how he likely reached his current stack situation, I call.

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