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reshove range V lag reg on bbl

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09-01-2010 , 02:14 PM

marchand

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 193

Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t100.00/t200.00 Blinds - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BB: t4870.00 24.35 BBs
CO: t4100.00 20.50 BBs
Hero (BTN): t1365.00 6.83 BBs
SB: t3165.00 15.82 BBs

Pre Flop: (t300) Hero is BTN with K

CO raises to t450, Hero raises to t1340, 2 folds, CO calls t890

Flop: (t2980) T

(2 players)

Turn: (t2980) 2

(2 players)

River: (t2980) 7

(2 players)

Villain is Vlag reg running 34/31 over 850 hands filtered, 10-14bb in CO is running 38/38and 15bb+ hes running 46/46 both >20 sample. I don't think I have any FE here I just feel I'm crushing his range here so I go for it but wiz hates it.

Its going to be tough moving on here to pick up chips and I am clear ss so it feels correct. I think I'm shoving 44+A7+ KJ A2s+ KTs+

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09-01-2010 , 07:48 PM

Foreman11

adept

Join Date: Oct 2006 Posts: 952

I don't think it's quite as bad as wiz will say, but i still wouldn't do it myself. We've still got good FE, and i can't see even the sickest lag being wide enough here to justify it. How wide do u actually think he is here?

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09-01-2010 , 09:02 PM

vysehrad

stranger

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 7

I like it. I think villain folding will be rare, but I don't think you mind either way. I think this is a lot better than the average situation you're going to be in within a few hands if you fold, e.g. you shove 87 or J6 and get called by K9 or A2.

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09-01-2010 , 10:10 PM

RagzToRiches

banned

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 3,958

Seems a good a spot as any. Those stats @ 4-6 handed are laggy as piss and you should be a fair way ahead I would say.

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09-01-2010 , 10:26 PM

sippin_criss

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 11,779

aa9a9a9a9a9a9a9a9a9a9a99aaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa aaaaaaaaaaa fk.

sure go for it, i just have this standard thing that since i won't often raise junk when i won't fold to the shorties shove i assume others won't do it either. if i go i wouldn't go worse.

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09-02-2010 , 05:12 AM

Monkey Banana

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 40,103

It's easy to overvalue a hand like KJs because it's pretty. Even against 38% you are only a small favourite, and he's probably a bit tighter than that in this specific spot. I'd fold this and shove wide next hand.

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09-02-2010 , 01:34 PM

Regret$

burnt out

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 12,124

Quote:

Originally Posted by Monkey Banana

The thing here in my mind is that if villains are unlikely to do anything stupid and also going to call us atc, we are sacraficing having about the same amount of equity in a larger pot for the 2% chance that some kind of cooler setup hand happens next hand.

Last edited by Regret$; 09-02-2010 at 01:39 PM. Reason: idk it might be as high as 4-5% and idk i guess we can wait a rotation, but seems pretty good imo if above is close to true

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