Quote:
Originally Posted by Greedy284186
If you are going to 3bet pre then give villian a chance to fold. You gave him 11200:3600 to call, which is about 3:1, so if he can win 1/4 of the time by calling then it's right for him to call. There are a lot of players who will call your 3bet with atc here b/c they have the button and are getting a great price to call.
Flop you make a standard cbet of about 40% of the pot which seems fine.
On turn if you are checking then you should be looking to check/call. Checking the turn might very well give villian the idea that you don't have an ace, but when you call it becomes pretty clear that you have an ace or else a pair and gutshot.
On the river when you check and he shoves it looks like he has a strong line but I would be calling here. There is just no way I'm check/calling the turn and then check/folding the river bet of 31,948 into 54,752, not including his river bet. You need 31,948/86,700 or about 37% equity to call. The only logical hands that villian can have that will scoop you are QJ, 99, AA, or a hand with a T in it. I would think he would shove any Ax here after you check/calling the turn and checking the river, so you will chop a decent amount here. I also would not be surprised for him to roll over a complete bluff, since he might not think you have an ace and it looks like there is some fold equity.
there are more value hands that villain has in his range in this particular spot that outweigh his bluffs to make this a c/c profitable on the river. he could possibly be bluffing but its highly unlikely villain will take a hand with showdown value and turn it into a bluff.
also our range is pretty capped imo in villains eyes so it puts
him in a pretty tough spot to bluff.
anyways i'd just c/f. i like the line bet otf, b/f ott best.
also i like calling pre and occasionally 3b/f vs unknown.