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Nightly hundred PS, lateish AQ

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08-29-2009 , 03:57 PM

m3deman

centurion

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 135

My shove was wrong (at least i think it was looking back, not considering results), but what should I have done? I am now leaning towards a call. Villian is 27/21 over a good sample.

Poker Stars $150+$12 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t500/t1000 Blinds + t100 - 8 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG+1: t20747 M = 9.02
MP1: t12595 M = 5.48
MP2: t9860 M = 4.29
CO: t6871 M = 2.99
BTN: t61622 M = 26.79
SB: t60912 M = 26.48
Hero (BB): t27039 M = 11.76
UTG: t47113 M = 20.48

Pre Flop: (t2300) Hero is BB with Q

1 fold, UTG+1 raises to t2750, 5 folds, Hero raises to t26939 all in, UTG+1 calls t17897 all in

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08-29-2009 , 05:30 PM

94ssimpala

grinder

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 514

I'm not flatting here almost ever, with his stack size I highly doubt he's raising just under 3x and folding. But if he's 27/21 over a good sample I lean toward a shove since if he's only raising the top 10% from UTG+1 we still have almost 50% equity (and he might be raising more than just 10%)

Text results appended to pokerstove.txt

2,198,598,336 games 2.160 secs 1,017,869,599 games/sec

Board:
Dead:

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 50.732% 45.84% 04.89% 1007925768 107463384.00 { 66+, ATs+, KTs+, QJs, AJo+, KQo }
Hand 1: 49.268% 44.38% 04.89% 975745800 107463384.00 { AQo }

Last edited by 94ssimpala; 08-29-2009 at 05:30 PM. Reason: got rid of other results

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