Hi guys.
I was kinda unsure about the title,so sorry about that.
Unfortunately, i´m not that good @math (as you guys already know ), also not really sure what program/calculator should i use in this situations ?
About 36 players left /550, we are ITM.
In-game i used both HoldemResources and ICM Nash calculator.
So math says i should go with ~10% range 66+,ATo+ ?, assuming that V are pushing corectly (SB is good MTT reg, and BU is a mid-stakes cash game grinder)
About my ¨feel¨: well i thought that i should gamble and try to triple up if i wanna have a chance to get to the final table or ¨go home¨, so any thoughts ?


[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $90.65 Buy-in (5,000/10,000 blinds, 1,250 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #33633181

MP3: 491,312 (49.1 bb)
CO: 135,082 (13.5 bb)
BTN: 98,215 (9.8 bb)
SB: 318,988 (31.9 bb)
Hero (BB): 126,264 (12.6 bb)
UTG+1: 108,714 (10.9 bb)
UTG+2: 210,933 (21.1 bb)
MP1: 484,050 (48.4 bb)
MP2: 141,823 (14.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 4 4
6 folds, BTN raises to 96,965 and is all-in, SB raises to 183,930 HERO???

if bu is shoving 45% ish here and sb is reshoving 25-30%ish you're going to just about break even on the call (not quite).

Thing is, having sb shove wider doesn't improve your equity much (and in some scenarios can actually decrease it) but if he shoves tighter (which is more likely than wider imo), your equity can drop pretty quickly

Fold
But don't go home

+1

Yeah +1 to fold. 66+ ATs+ AJo+ seem reasonable.

Will be interesting to compare equities of 44 and 66 vs two ranges... "feel" there won`t be big difference. I think I`d fold 66 and call 77.

edge etc..

You read my mind
Any math wizards ?

Where`s pablito when you need him?

ok...w/e, we need like ~32%.

equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 31.886% 30.91% 00.98% 598122883 18917848.00 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J5s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, A2o+, K4o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 1: 35.982% 34.98% 01.00% 676951542 19359792.83 { 22+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QJo }
Hand 2: 32.133% 31.84% 00.29% 616112938 5707244.17 { 44 }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 29.719% 28.84% 00.88% 136990054 4195255.00 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J5s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, A2o+, K4o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 1: 34.045% 33.15% 00.89% 157495137 4239378.83 { 22+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QJo }
Hand 2: 36.236% 35.93% 00.30% 170712734 1433892.17 { 66 }


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 28.535% 27.68% 00.85% 59383662 1833000.67 { 22+, A2s+, K2s+, Q2s+, J5s+, T6s+, 96s+, 86s+, 76s, 65s, 54s, A2o+, K4o+, Q8o+, J8o+, T8o+, 98o }
Hand 1: 33.197% 32.33% 00.87% 69350235 1868206.50 { 22+, A2s+, K9s+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QJo }
Hand 2: 38.268% 37.97% 00.30% 81459627 637176.50 { 77 }

Seems calling 66 is fine if reg is reshoving 25%.
However smth tells me not every reg would reshove 25% with that stack.

snap folding to SB iso

Folding this