Hey all,

Just wanted to see what you thought about my line here.

The flop bet is because he was a limp-caller. I'm thinking we get a ton of folds here just because he misses the board so much that it has to be +EV.

When he calls I'm expecting him to be chasing with flush draws, maybe some straight draws and his 9s. I think he would have raised any queens in his range.

Do I jam this turn or not?

PokerStars - 20/40 NL - Holdem - 10 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 40.87 BB
UTG+2: 34.87 BB
Hero (MP): 26.37 BB
MP+1: 40.5 BB
MP+2: 34.87 BB
CO: 32.62 BB
BTN: 34 BB
SB: 34.62 BB
BB: 54.37 BB
UTG: 41.87 BB

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A K

fold, fold, UTG+2 calls 1 BB, Hero raises to 3 BB, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, BB calls 2 BB, UTG+2 calls 2 BB

Flop: (9.5 BB, 3 players) 9 Q Q
BB checks, UTG+2 checks, Hero bets 5.22 BB, fold, UTG+2 calls 5.22 BB

Turn: (19.95 BB, 2 players) K
UTG+2 checks, Hero ??

What you can beat are: under pairs, 9x, KT, KJ，these are not likely to call your jam on turn.
Flush draw and TJ just get there, QX not that likely to fold let alone fullhouse.
So, bet on turn doesn't make sense, typical ineffective bet.

I will just check back ott and pray:"Please, please, please, please don't bet on river" unless river comes another K.

This!

We also beat K9, for what it's worth. But I agree with the general assessment. All the draws have gotten there. This is a WA/WB spot, and we should check behind.

First of all,why would you bet 54,9% on flop with no draws to straight or flush,nor top pair.It's more than obvious that he had at least open ended straight draw or flush draw,not to mention q.But this in fact is the most comon mistake players make,because they are simple blinded by the strength of the AK.I must agree with "newbie" and pray he wont jam on turn or river,as you have the smallest odd to win there

I probably wouldn't bet this flop with that many players. I don't see all of them folding. Plus I think many draws would come over the top and a queen might slowplay here.