KQ : is my odds right ? - MTT Poker Strategy - Multi Table Tournament Poker Forum

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy No Limit Tournaments

KQ : is my odds right ?

Post Reply Subscribe

...

03-28-2012 , 06:25 PM

Joey Fiuza

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 306

buy in : 1 €

SB: 20,925.00
BB: 18,800.00
UTG: 17,875.00
UTG+1: 14,275.00
MP: 34,625.00
MP+1: 27,725.00
LP: 19,750.00
CO: 20,500.00
Hero (BTN): 25,675.00

SB posts SB 75.00, BB posts BB 150.00

Pre Flop: (225.00) Hero has K

fold, UTG+1 calls 150.00, fold, MP+1 calls 150.00, fold, fold, Hero raises to 600.00, fold, fold, UTG+1 calls 450.00, MP+1 calls 450.00

Flop: (2025.00, 3 players) J

UTG+1 checks, MP+1 checks, Hero bets 1,200.00, UTG+1 calls 1,200.00, fold

Turn: (4425.00, 2 players) 8

UTG+1 checks, Hero bets 3,300.00, UTG+1 raises to 12,475.00 and is all-in

Quote

03-28-2012 , 06:32 PM

Gardemeister1

grinder

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 449

No, fold now, we may only have 3 outs. As played I would be tempted to check behind ott to take the free card with our draw and possibly a K or Q would be good for us as well.

Quote

03-28-2012 , 07:10 PM

Oxzy

old hand

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 1,676

I think the double barrel is fine with our equity but your turnbet is to large. ~2k has the same feq. fold now

Quote

03-29-2012 , 06:57 AM

Joey Fiuza

journeyman

Join Date: Feb 2012 Posts: 306

Riverde my Q.Villain had KJ .Cheers ^_^

Quote

03-29-2012 , 03:25 PM

GoDaWfUl29

enthusiast

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 64

This is a fold. I personally check back this turn, because I don't think it is a believable card. Wish you hadn't posted results. I don't see how we could ever have only 3 outs though. We are open ended with 2 overs. Even if villain has 2 pair or better, we still have 8 outs. The least we can have is 6, but it's not likely. I think a bet here never gets any real flop hands off the hand. And now we know we are chasing and we are only getting 2:1. I don't think you ever have 14 outs here so you don't have the odds.

Quote

03-29-2012 , 03:37 PM

BigVach

veteran

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 2,702

more pre. Flop is good and b/f is fine ott. +1 to oxzy about 3300 being too much. I'd rather check back than make this overbet.

Quote

03-29-2012 , 05:39 PM

Elephants_pride

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 5,043

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigVach

more pre. Flop is good and b/f is fine ott. +1 to oxzy about 3300 being too much. I'd rather check back than make this overbet.

+1
except turn is easy check behind

Quote

03-29-2012 , 05:41 PM

Rob_10108

A GIF from God

Join Date: Aug 2011 Posts: 7,510

Check turn

Quote

03-31-2012 , 05:39 AM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

bad sizing on turn. checking is reasonable given he c/c multiway and its not a card that gets Jx to fold.

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...