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01-01-2015 , 04:54 PM

empiredrop

centurion

Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 118

Good shove or not?

Poker Stars, $3.16 Buy-in (150/300 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 3 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #33706721

Hero (BTN): 3,396 (11.3 bb)
SB: 6,994 (23.3 bb)
BB: 3,110 (10.4 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BTN with K

Hero raises to 3,371 and is all-in, SB raises to 6,442, BB folds

Flop: (7,117) J

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
Turn: (7,117) J

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (7,117) T

(2 players, 1 is all-in)

Spoiler:

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01-01-2015 , 05:41 PM

URagnatha

adept

Join Date: Jan 2014 Posts: 1,158

just ran it through hrc says you can shove top 18.2 perc. k9o is just outside of this. so this is a minus EV shove in regards to gto play. Having said that it could be the right play depending on how far villains are playing from nash. do you have some stats for them?
k10o is a breakeven shove not accounting for edge.

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01-03-2015 , 06:04 AM

jazvecina

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2013 Posts: 98

Quote:

Originally Posted by URagnatha

ive got 21.1%

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01-03-2015 , 09:20 AM

TheEcologist

journeyman

Join Date: Jan 2013 Posts: 201

If they are mega nits I shove this. Versus a standard player its a fold I think.

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01-04-2015 , 08:54 AM

ropecore

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2014 Posts: 258

Pushing hand from the button such as in this situation usually gains money from other players folding compared to getting called. So it's going to be +/- 0.05% EV, so dependant on reads. I would fold this unless I had a read they are tight.

The fact that you got called by AK has no problem. AK should call in that situation so it's fine.

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