Is this a reshove or a wait-for-better-spot spot?
Only about 20 hands played at this table before this.

Full Tilt Poker $35,000 Guarantee No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t60/t120 Blinds - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG+1: t5925 M = 32.92
UTG+2: t2238 M = 12.43
MP1: t9855 M = 54.75
MP2: t3560 M = 19.78
CO: t4130 M = 22.94
BTN: t8230 M = 45.72
SB: t3520 M = 19.56
Hero (BB): t6505 M = 36.14
UTG: t17100 M = 95

Pre Flop: (t180) Hero is BB with Q A
6 folds, BTN raises to t360, SB raises to t3520 all in, Hero ???

No thoughts? I shoved because 95% chance he doesn't have QQ+, BTN has a huge range, good chance for lots of chips, and I still have 3K if I lose a flip or I run into the one time he has AK and I don't suck out. I know I'm flipping 80% of the time, running into AK 10% of the time and actually have a better hand 10% (like KQs/AJs). Is that a decent line of thinking?

Fold readless. I'm not worried at all about the button - his range is most likely very wide. But I don't think SB is shoving light here ever? 88+/AJs+/AQo+ is a bit of a loose guess as to what his reshoving range is and you're not even in great shape there.
Hand 0: 38.214% 30.29% 07.93% 373420308 97709016.00 { AQo }
Hand 1: 61.786% 53.86% 07.93% 664020540 97709016.00 { 88+, AJs+, AQo+ }

Even if we rule out KK+ (which we can probably do) we get:
Hand 0: 41.212% 31.95% 09.26% 334824180 97047618.00 { AQo }
Hand 1: 58.788% 49.53% 09.26% 519010632 97047618.00 { QQ-88, AJs+, AQo+ }

If you throw in AJo it is a marginally +EV call, but I still fold readless all things considered.

I think we can rule out QQ+. First of all, very likely he's not shoving KK, AA over a button raise (unless he's a complete donk, or there's some sort of history that we don't know.)
And QQ is extremely unlikely (3 combos.)

So his likely range (I'm thinking, for a decent player) is JJ-66, ATs+, KQs, 87s, AJo+, KQo


equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 51.676% 45.83% 05.85% 828671220 105731916.00 { AQo }
Hand 1: 48.324% 42.48% 05.85% 768057972 105731916.00 { JJ-66, ATs+, KQs, 87s, AJo+, KQo }

We're a slight favorite here. There's also all the dead money in the pot, and the fact that we still have a healthy stack if we lose.

I would make the reshove.

fold cause seems neutral EV and BTN will wake up with a hand sometimes to make it -cEV in total

He ended up having 22 and I lost the race along with every race til I was knocked out. Meh. I checked his OPR after and found he is -30% ROI for 2010 and never rated above 60% for a year. I guess bad players like to shove light? Good note to remember for the future. I'll keep OPR open while playing.

is this your favourite sc or some crazy read on decent sb vs btn shove ranges?