Do you like my re-steal with KJ?? - MTT Poker Strategy - Multi Table Tournament Poker Forum

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Do you like my re-steal with KJ??

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06-25-2010 , 04:39 PM

KDolla83

adept

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 858

No reads accept villain has a big stack and raised from the co.....

Poker Stars $4.00+$0.40 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t150/t300 Blinds + t25 - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: t5550 M = 8.22
UTG+1: t9409 M = 13.94
UTG+2: t1760 M = 2.61
MP1: t5305 M = 7.86
MP2: t7767 M = 11.51
CO: t13955 M = 20.67
BTN: t4576 M = 6.78
Hero (SB): t6445 M = 9.55
BB: t3240 M = 4.80

Pre Flop: (t675) Hero is SB with K

5 folds, CO raises to t700, 1 fold, Hero raises to t6420 all in, 1 fold, CO calls t5720

Flop: (t13365) A

(2 players - 1 is all in)

Turn: (t13365) 5

(2 players - 1 is all in)

River: (t13365) J

(2 players - 1 is all in)

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06-25-2010 , 04:42 PM

Fisherist

stranger

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 12

No.. i would fold pre

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06-25-2010 , 04:48 PM

mmbossman

grinder

Join Date: May 2007 Posts: 549

No... and it's not because of your cards. Shoving just because the OR has a big stack isn't a resteal, it's spew. If you have a read that he'll bet light from the button or CO, or has a high fold to 3-bet%, then sure, it's good. But without reads, and without an idea of his raising range, you're shoving into a guy that will still be one of the chip leaders at the table if he calls and loses. And high FE is what makes a successful resteal a good play.

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06-25-2010 , 05:58 PM

two2brains

veteran

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 2,636

also in low buy in tourneys, sngs etc you have to be real sure who it is cause most people will snap call you Axos and KQ and all sorts of crap.

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06-25-2010 , 06:11 PM

streetwalkincheeta

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 5,132

Well played iyam

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06-25-2010 , 06:23 PM

Strife

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 3,480

I think he is opening ~17% something like 22+,A8s+,K9s+,QJs,JTs,A9o+,KTo+ and he is gonna call BB with all of that. I think he calls your shove with ~11% 55+,ATs+,KJs+,ATo+,KQo

That means he is calling your shove ~65% and folding 35%. KJo has ~35% equity against his estimated calling range.

You net +4.5 BBs if he folds.

You lose -21 BBs if he calls and you lose.

You net +23 BBs if he calls and you win.

some quick calculations:
+4.5(.35) (.65) (-21(.65) +23(.35))

1.575 - 3.64 = -2.065 BBs

So this play has an EV of -2BBs, looks like a fold to me.

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