This is the HE round of this mixed event. Tournament is full of bad players but FT was better than I expected for micro buy in and my HU opponent was a good player.

Hero-Villain had commented how solid I was earlier. Clearly think I have an edge in the PLO rounds.

Villain-Was pretty non-descript TAG for much of the tournament but as we got shorter opened up and my opinion is that he is better more creative and Laggier than I thought. Good solid player. HU he has been 3b pre a decent amount and probably reacting to me pretty well. Seems to raise and fold at right times though may just be he is getting good hands at right time, etc.

If it matters payouts are 1st-$3350 2nd-$2500

We have been HU for about 15-20 mins and I have pulled out to a bit of a lead prob 900k-700k

Blinds 10k-20k no antes

I am on BTN and raise A8 to 40k villain calls (Pot 80k). If I had to guess he is calling 75-80% of his range and 3b 15-20% of his range

Flop 752

Villain checks I bet 45k he calls (pot 170k)

I think his range is still pretty wide here and includes flopped pair maybe with a or possibly a bare high like Qx or even a straight draw.

Turn 8

Villain checks. I feel like he will make a play at this pot a lot if I induce so I bet 65k. Villain tanks then c/r to 175k leaving about 440k behind. If I call there will be 520k in the pot.

Hero considers shoving but I think there are still some bluffs and dominated draws in his range. I don't think Villain gives up on river. Am I overthinking this and should just get it in? Obv if I shove I just completely shutdown any Villain bluffs but pot is pretty large at this point.

I don't see much benefit in shoving turn. You chase away any worse hands and only getting called by better with a gamble on a river card. I much prefer calling turn and calling for all of it on river.

When I bet to induce on the turn, then I either call the raise being confortable calling every single river card, or my hand is still vulnerable and a jam seems best. Yr posts dynamics point to the latter being the right choice imo.