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Call or fold on bubble Call or fold on bubble

03-30-2014 , 10:22 AM
I have a strong hand against a reg. I'm pretty sure I got the best hand most of the time since he will be showing a wide range in this spot, but if I fold I still have fold equity and can continue steeling blinds. If I call and loose I'm basically out if I don't get lucky. All my fold equity will be lost since the other players have deep enough stacks to call me light to get the bounty. If I call and whin tho, I get a big enough stack to put pressure on the big stacks. Do I loose more equity than I gain by calling here, or would you call?


PokerStars - $5.20+$1.30+$0.50|50/100 NL - Holdem - 4 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

CO: 11.2 BB (VPIP: 11.29, PFR: 8.20, 3Bet Preflop: 4.17, Hands: 64)
BTN: 52.85 BB (VPIP: 35.48, PFR: 28.81, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 64)
Hero (SB): 19.7 BB
BB: 51.25 BB (VPIP: 26.67, PFR: 10.34, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 64)

Hero posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has A Q

CO raises to 11.2 BB and is all-in, fold,
Call or fold on bubble Quote
03-30-2014 , 10:40 AM
Don't think I could ever really fold AQs here against an 11BB open shove 4 handed - like the guy would have to be really nitty for me to consider it. Surely he's going to show up with hands like {66+} {A8s+) {ATo+} {KTs+} and hands similar to that that you beat or flip with (as well as very few amount of the ones you don't).
Call or fold on bubble Quote
03-30-2014 , 11:15 PM
Really borderline spot. You only have 64 hands on villian so probably the first bubble that you have played with him. Villain's stats seem to indicate and you do say that he is a reg so I actually do not think that he is going to be shoving terribly wide at this point being that this is the bubble and he would be shoving thru all three opponents. I do realize that he is the short stack but he does have over 11 BBs so he is no where near desparate yet. I tend to fold here and go with AK+, 10 10+. I would have villain on a range something like 55+, A8s+, A 10o+, KQs.
Call or fold on bubble Quote
03-31-2014 , 12:37 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by VikingsFan93
Really borderline spot. You only have 64 hands on villian so probably the first bubble that you have played with him. Villain's stats seem to indicate and you do say that he is a reg so I actually do not think that he is going to be shoving terribly wide at this point being that this is the bubble and he would be shoving thru all three opponents. I do realize that he is the short stack but he does have over 11 BBs so he is no where near desparate yet. I tend to fold here and go with AK+, 10 10+. I would have villain on a range something like 55+, A8s+, A 10o+, KQs.
Agreed however, I really think the 3% added equity of AQs here makes this a call, but I could fold AQo here. I think he will show up here a lot with mid-pairs(88-TT) but he could be shoving AJo and possibly ATo here, but I think ATo is the bottom of his shoving range, especially since he is a regular.
Call or fold on bubble Quote
03-31-2014 , 12:52 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by shrewsbury91
Agreed however, I really think the 3% added equity of AQs here makes this a call, but I could fold AQo here. I think he will show up here a lot with mid-pairs(88-TT) but he could be shoving AJo and possibly ATo here, but I think ATo is the bottom of his shoving range, especially since he is a regular.
Yeah I see your point AQs really right on the fence for me calling slightly tend towards fold but calling probably not really bad considering small sample of hands on villian.
Call or fold on bubble Quote
03-31-2014 , 01:37 AM
in spots like this close i tend to just fold when we have a decent stack to work with.

but if we are having a hard time stealing chips or whatever, then i'd tend to call.
Call or fold on bubble Quote
03-31-2014 , 09:47 AM
This is the rest of the hand:


Hero calls 10.7 BB, fold

Flop: (23.4 BB, 2 players) 2 8 K

Turn: (23.4 BB, 2 players) 6

River: (23.4 BB, 2 players) 7

Hero shows A Q (High Card, Ace) (Pre 46%, Flop 23%, Turn 14%)
CO shows T T (One Pair, Tens) (Pre 54%, Flop 77%, Turn 86%)
CO wins 23.4 BB
Call or fold on bubble Quote

      
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