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Borderline decision in a sat?

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01-06-2020 , 02:32 PM

miguelin43

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 820

Hi guys

ok, the sat is running like this

33 places paid. I am actually 23/45, but only 1.000 chips above the nº 33 guy

SB is a reg

I dont think i can sit and wait to the others guys to bust so we have to call right?

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $4.50 Buy-in (300/600 blinds, 50 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: 4,968 (8.3 bb)
Hero (BB): 4,165 (6.9 bb)
UTG+1: 6,875 (11.5 bb)
UTG+2: 2,275 (3.8 bb)
MP1: 4,300 (7.2 bb)
MP2: 5,050 (8.4 bb)
MP3: 5,497 (9.2 bb)
CO: 2,221 (3.7 bb)
BTN: 4,470 (7.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with A

7 folds, SB raises to 4,918 and is all-in, Hero calls 3,515 and is all-in

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01-06-2020 , 08:35 PM

Theagent77

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 647

I'd call, there is still some time before the bubble bursts.
According to Nash, this is a snap call even without antes (+1.79 BB cEV)

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01-06-2020 , 11:05 PM

Pokerpapa

newbie

Join Date: Oct 2019 Posts: 30

Being that this is a satellite Nash isn’t as important as satellite strategy. Is SB the type to make a positional move or only would shove with a power hand. Are the short stacks patient or likely to shove any two once on the button or hijack. Are you willing to buy in to the tournament or only playing if you win a seat. How are you viewed at the table? I play about 12 satellites a month and would only call here if SB will raise any 2 in this position. But that’s me, you need to read the situation and then you will know if it is a call or not

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01-07-2020 , 06:06 AM

Theagent77

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 647

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pokerpapa

We're not in the bubble yet, I believe chip ev is still a good model

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01-07-2020 , 04:46 PM

Pokerpapa

newbie

Join Date: Oct 2019 Posts: 30

Quote:

Originally Posted by Theagent77

We're not in the bubble yet, I believe chip ev is still a good model

OP is covered so it is OP's bubble. Chip EV at this point goes out the window and staying alive by avoiding flips is much better. If OP was pushing with A7 then fine but they are calling and that is a problem

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01-07-2020 , 08:18 PM

Theagent77

grinder

Join Date: Apr 2019 Posts: 647

It would be good if someone could ICMize this

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01-08-2020 , 11:39 AM

comfortably_numb

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 423

Quote:

Originally Posted by Theagent77

It would be good if someone could ICMize this

True

I can't...

If SB is a reg as claimed from OP he should be jamming pretty wide like any Qx Kx Ax -> I call with any Ax here

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01-08-2020 , 09:48 PM

Pouled

grinder

Join Date: Oct 2018 Posts: 476

Fold

In Dara Kearney book on satellites, he shows how to play all situations in satellite poker. Fold equity is the king of this type of mtt, so you have to be the guy that shoves on others ( preferably with hands with blockers, it's better to shove A5s than JJ for example)

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