AQS, two overs and nut flush/straight draw facing flop raise - MTT Poker Strategy

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AQS, two overs and nut flush/straight draw facing flop raise

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03-04-2014 , 10:41 AM

calum101

centurion

Join Date: Dec 2011 Posts: 127

Poker Stars, $1.25 Buy-in (125/250 blinds, 25 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 8 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #24300841

CO: 6,160 (24.6 bb)
BTN: 8,896 (35.6 bb)
SB: 7,170 (28.7 bb)
BB: 4,247 (17 bb)
UTG+2: 3,670 (14.7 bb)
Hero (MP1): 7,500 (30 bb)
MP2: 5,870 (23.5 bb)
MP3: 2,975 (11.9 bb)

Preflop: Hero is MP1 with Q

UTG+2 folds, Hero raises to 525, 2 folds, CO calls 525, 3 folds

Flop: (1,625) T

(2 players)
Hero bets 625, CO raises to 1,250, Hero raises to 2,750, CO raises to 5,610 and is all-in, Hero calls 2,860

Turn: (12,845) 4

(2 players, 1 is all-in)
River: (12,845) 6

(2 players, 1 is all-in)

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

caller was 8/0 over 12 hands so not too good a read but obv towards the tighter side. My question is whether to flat his flop raise and re-evaluate the turn? Or if I am raising should i raise bigger to committ myself better to the pot?

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03-04-2014 , 11:29 AM

flushje

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 354

Happy to get it in here on the flop with 30 bigs, so much equity. Calling to see a blank turn wouldn't put you in a good spot esp OOP

Last edited by flushje; 03-04-2014 at 11:44 AM.

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03-04-2014 , 01:05 PM

speightman

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2010 Posts: 166

You have possibly 21 outs here (9 clubs, three 9's, 3 K's, 3 A's and 3 Q's) so you've got to bet/shove. I personally wouldn't have 3bet smaller than ai with your stack size, unless I've already got the nuts locked up and I'm begging for a call or 4bet shove. Give yourself the most f/e and 3bet shove. (even though you'd be happy with a 4bet shove from him with this much equity)
Running this through an equity calculator, you're looking at 65% equity if he's calling your open pre w/ an 11% range (77+, A2s+, A9o+, KTs+, 98s+, JTo+).

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03-04-2014 , 03:40 PM

all_in_pockets

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2013 Posts: 2,535

Bet more otf.

calling the raise otf will be terrible you want to be putting as much chips in the middle with this combo draw you have so much equity!! hero should be raising till the cows come home.

even if villian was holding a set here like JJ , you're only a slight underdog.

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03-04-2014 , 04:22 PM

fidstar-poker

I'm gonna need a hacksaw

Join Date: Jun 2012 Posts: 34,064

c-bet a bit more, but gii on the flop is superstandard.

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03-04-2014 , 05:04 PM

Puzo

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 3,657

Make it bigger OTF and shove over that raise. Nh!

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03-04-2014 , 05:15 PM

flizana

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2013 Posts: 210

Bet bigger OTF and 3b-shove, nh.

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03-04-2014 , 11:10 PM

JoeyJoJo Shabadu

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2005 Posts: 5,355

Wtf... fist pump call.

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