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AQo 7 from the money

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09-20-2010 , 10:01 PM

trymyk

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 600

162 paid 169 players left 26$ fo on ftp. Been at the table for 20 hands and villain is running 25/18 and has shoved i think about 5 hands so far. Vs a nit on the bubble i think this is a fold but can i justify a call here?
Full Tilt Poker $32,000 Guarantee No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t500/t1000 Blinds + t125 - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

MP2: t33109 M = 12.61
CO: t35288 M = 13.44
BTN: t43784 M = 16.68
SB: t24423 M = 9.30
BB: t39641 M = 15.10
UTG: t19404 M = 7.39
UTG+1: t17174 M = 6.54
UTG+2: t13928 M = 5.31
Hero (MP1): t11695 M = 4.46

Pre Flop: (t2625) Hero is MP1 with Q

2 folds, UTG+2 raises to t13803 all in

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09-20-2010 , 10:22 PM

Texas Chuck

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,237

Im getting it in.

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09-20-2010 , 11:57 PM

UGA_Dawg_2003

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 647

Against this villain with your stack, this is an easy shove imo.

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09-21-2010 , 04:34 AM

skater3598

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 4,597

definitely fold you need a sizable edge to be calling this and it's ~0EV -> -EV

calling AK is probably a mistake

take comfort in the fact villain is never ever light and could be folding up to and including AJ and 77

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09-21-2010 , 04:46 AM

ebet33

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 4,994

Quote:

Originally Posted by skater3598

lol icmaments
if hes abusing the bubble, get it innnnnnnnnnnn
i couldnt care less about a mini cash, gets some chips imo!

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09-21-2010 , 04:46 AM

ebet33

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 4,994

and you have 11bbs. omg lol get it in

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09-21-2010 , 05:14 AM

skater3598

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 4,597

you could of course just say omg 11 bbs he's probably light sometimes lol i don't care about icm or even fully understand what it implies and do w/e, but this is definitely a fold vs a nit as described in OP

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09-21-2010 , 12:20 PM

trymyk

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 600

villain wasn't described as a nit was 25/18 and had shoved 5 hands of 20

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09-21-2010 , 12:27 PM

hustlingeryday

centurion

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 142

Quote:

Originally Posted by trymyk

villain wasn't described as a nit was 25/18 and had shoved 5 hands of 20

yeah and even if villian was nitty this is still prob a shove

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09-21-2010 , 01:05 PM

#10

ndahlhoff10

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 6,224

i think its close, flip a coin

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09-21-2010 , 02:36 PM

#11

benza13

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2005 Posts: 17,191

calling this

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09-21-2010 , 02:40 PM

#12

Aleks EC

centurion

Join Date: May 2010 Posts: 146

GEt it in. Look your stack and the reads...

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09-21-2010 , 02:45 PM

#13

ShortyTheFish

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 2,941

Loose villain + possible bubble abuse + 11BBs + AQ = Fold? I don't think so

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09-21-2010 , 03:35 PM

#14

ssnyc

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Aug 2005 Posts: 38,129

never folding here...closer to fist pumping

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09-21-2010 , 03:48 PM

#15

ThePershore

adept

Join Date: Mar 2007 Posts: 711

Quote:

Originally Posted by skater3598

calling AK is probably a mistake

lol no.

call with AQ.

Last edited by ThePershore; 09-21-2010 at 03:49 PM. Reason: i don't think its a huge fist pump or anything but am never folding

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09-21-2010 , 07:14 PM

#16

Turniphead

old hand

Join Date: Jan 2008 Posts: 1,518

instashove

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09-21-2010 , 07:18 PM

#17

Keeper1125

veteran

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 2,913

do it

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09-21-2010 , 07:53 PM

#18

zedveron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 4,976

call with your read, fold vs a nit. gotta take these opportunities with your stack. winning here puts you in a pretty good situation. actually i could see a case for folding if it were the exact bubble, but as is we still might not cash if we fold here, 7 people in this field size might take a while to bust, and also his range will be a little tighter on the exact bubble.

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09-21-2010 , 10:22 PM

#19

Nothingmaker

newbie

Join Date: Aug 2008 Posts: 33

Super turbo call... and happily.

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09-22-2010 , 12:14 AM

#20

skater3598

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 4,597

you money 80-90% of the time if you fold, there are 5 people left to act, villain has been described as a nit

you need 46% to break even and we only have at max a 5% edge here vs his range

you're all wrong it's an easy fold

can't believe you guys are actually just saying "fist pump this" and ****, and think busting 45+% of the time on the bubble is fine

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09-22-2010 , 12:22 AM

#21

wadadli24

journeyman

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 379

Quote:

Originally Posted by skater3598

for the 3rd time villain was not described as a nit, OP was merely saying that vs. a nit he would probably fold but given the reads which were he was 25/18 and had shoved 5 hands in 20, so probably abusing bubble, that he felt this was a call in this situation

I agree 100% get this in there

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09-22-2010 , 12:24 AM

#22

skater3598

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 4,597

oh woops, yea get it in (still don't pump you fists flipping on the bubble)

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09-22-2010 , 01:10 AM

#23

jdAA88

adept

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 1,186

yeah never folding here

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09-22-2010 , 01:31 AM

#24

AHanrath

adept

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 849

yeah I call here too, with your reads i think your just way too ahead of villians range to nit-fold to a min cash.

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09-22-2010 , 03:09 PM

#25

trymyk

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 600

alright sweet i did shove and lost to 44 just making sure that i wasn't making a bubble mistake.

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