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AQ faces a 3b-shove - can we call? AQ faces a 3b-shove - can we call?

07-11-2014 , 10:49 AM
Usually just doing the math and playing around with stove yields the answer but for some reason I had a hard time coming up with a proper range and decision point for this player. fwiw I folded in game but upon doing the review I wasn't sure if that was the right move or not.

Merge <Early Bird $5.50 - $500 Gtd [Deep]> NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG+1: 20.72 BB (VPIP: 27.59, PFR: 10.71, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 29)
MP: 48.41 BB (VPIP: 22.73, PFR: 2.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 45)
MP+1: 50.56 BB (VPIP: 33.90, PFR: 8.77, 3Bet Preflop: 5.26, Hands: 59)
Hero (CO): 38.25 BB 19/16/3b:11.6
BTN: 9.79 BB (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 21)
SB: 18.56 BB (VPIP: 14.29, PFR: 6.45, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 35)
BB: 19.69 BB (VPIP: 21.82, PFR: 13.89, 3Bet Preflop: 4.88, Hands: 111)
UTG: 50.74 BB (VPIP: 17.29, PFR: 11.36, 3Bet Preflop: 10.20, Hands: 134)

8 players post ante of 0.1 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 2.3 BB) Hero has AQ

fold, fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to 2 BB, fold, fold, BB raises to 19.59 BB and is all-in, Hero?

Vil is seemingly a solid player however his opr shows a consistent -30%R over the last two years. I need around 43% equity but if he's shoving 3-4 percent then I don't have that of course. If he's shoving 11% then I'm just about b/e and if I loose - I'm loosing half my stack. I wasn't sure if I should be calling here.
AQ faces a 3b-shove - can we call? Quote
07-11-2014 , 10:57 AM
Don't think he's reshoving AA-KK that deep, think most of the time he'd be 3betting it. I put him on QQ-77,ATs+,KQs,AJo+,KQo, (51%) but it might be little too wide. Even if it's more nitty, like QQ-99,AJs+,KQs,AJo+ (47,5%) it's still EV+ call, but I'd be probably having hard time calling there in game. Most certainly folding can't be a big mistake, especially if you have an edge on your table.
AQ faces a 3b-shove - can we call? Quote
07-11-2014 , 05:37 PM
i would call and need a reason to fold ajo here prob
AQ faces a 3b-shove - can we call? Quote
07-12-2014 , 03:44 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by gamboneee
i would call and need a reason to fold ajo here prob
This!
AQ faces a 3b-shove - can we call? Quote
07-12-2014 , 03:56 AM
Cool, but what range do you think he's reshoving then, because vs those I've mentioned you're 41,63% and 35,78% with AJo, so it's a minus ev call. (44,67% and 39,20% with AJs, so very marginal)
AQ faces a 3b-shove - can we call? Quote
07-12-2014 , 08:24 AM
idk, but that range is way too tight in a vacuum. i think its also a mistake to not add a few combos of idiot/punt to his range
AQ faces a 3b-shove - can we call? Quote

      
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