Join Date: Mar 2019
Posts: 231
$360 tourney, second flight of three for a two day tourney. 69 people remain, bagging at 20 people or in three hours. Hero is in BB, blinds at 600/1200 (12k BB ante) with 20k behind. Limper in cutoff, small blind completes, hero checks J6cc.
Flop comes 9c4c9x. SB checks, hero bets 5k, co folds, SB jams. Hero?
Having played with small blind the last 5 hours or so, I was pretty confident she had a set, I just don't know if I should lay it down here. I suppose she could have a 4, in which case I have two live cards (A4 or K4s could be in a small blind's completing range here), 55, 66, 77, 88 all possible, didn't think TT+ was possible because I would expect a raise pre. The big fear is a bigger flush draw, and I don't think she'd ever do this with a smaller flush draw. So our best case is A4? And if we are where I think we are, we have 8 outs twice and technically runner-runner jacks live. So is this a call?
A fold leaves us with roughly 15k, which is 1/5 an average stack and 12 blinds. A win gives us ~42k, a loss sends us home.