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AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD

02-18-2014 , 07:25 AM
Hey guys,

for those of you who have seen the AQo hand, this hand here occured two hands later vs. the same villain who peeled my OR.

I know that most of you would probably go for a bigger cbet here and I can see the point why. But my thought process in these spots is, that I want him to continue even with 99 and TT (ofc any J) here, whereas he would fold all that to a bigger cbet.

His ch/r he really scared the crap out of me. But since i cbet so small and there are some draws here, I decided to flat.

I would like to hear your comments and thoughts on every street here! Thanks so much!

[converted_hand][hand_history]Poker Stars, $8 Buy-in (30,000/60,000 blinds, 7,500 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

CO: 3,148,095 (52.5 bb)
BTN: 2,430,108 (40.5 bb)
SB: 1,132,965 (18.9 bb)
BB: 2,498,224 (41.6 bb)
Hero (UTG+1): 2,674,530 (44.6 bb)
UTG+2: 2,280,374 (38 bb)
MP1: 715,002 (11.9 bb)
MP2: 3,609,619 (60.2 bb)
MP3: 2,430,083 (40.5 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG+1 with A K
Hero raises to 120,000, 7 folds, BB calls 60,000

Flop: (337,500) A J 2 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets 139,555, BB raises to 360,000, Hero calls 220,445

Turn: (1,057,500) Q (2 players)
BB checks, Hero checks

River: (1,057,500) 2 (2 players)
BB bets 340,000, Hero ?
AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD Quote
02-18-2014 , 07:48 AM
I think i would bet turn here, he's not checking lot of hands that beats you i think.
Looks like he was bluffing on flop with some KcQx, QcT, or KQcc, QTcc and has now some SDV.
Call river as played imo, only value hand that could play like that from V, is A2, but his sizing river looks like more a blocking bet from my point of view.

I'm not 100% sure of what i'm saying here actually, so wait for more advice.
AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD Quote
02-18-2014 , 09:42 AM
i really don't consider this such a wet board. he can't be open-ended otf, pr+fd combos are very unlikely. (set's are also less likely on AJ2Q2 and very unlikely by the river.)

think you can get slightly more value otf, but you might have actually induced with the smaller sizing, so w/e.

V's line is kinda bewildering and the Qx improves some of his range, so check ott is OK.

river just call. puke if he has KT or K2cc. wonder if you left a little value out there if he didn't.

Last edited by oldsilver; 02-18-2014 at 09:52 AM.
AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD Quote
02-18-2014 , 10:26 AM
call river... no point in raising ... turn can go either way we can b/f turn and take showdown or we can play it like this
AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD Quote
02-18-2014 , 10:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldsilver
i really don't consider this such a wet board. he can't be open-ended otf, pr+fd combos are very unlikely. (set's are also less likely on AJ2Q2 and very unlikely by the river.)
Yep, you're right. I just wanted to imply that a flush draw was possible.

I called, he had AJo. Puke.
AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD Quote
02-18-2014 , 11:06 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Long Eared Jerboa
thought he can have some ******ed AJ.

His weak line make me think he was pretty nutted in hand 1.
Thank you, thought the same! That's actually a very good point, sir.
AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD Quote
02-18-2014 , 03:26 PM
I agree with going bigger on the flop, but the c/r is a clear call against most. Yeah turn can go either way, but I'm not too sure how to react to another c/r so I might just check back. He doesn't really rep anything on the river so easy call.
AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD Quote
02-18-2014 , 10:02 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by TheDeadDuck
I called, he had AJo. Puke.
my first typed response to this was 'he probably has AJ'

then i thought a little more and couldn't understand why wouldn't barrel the turn on a board that now gives you pair + gs combos to improve and every reason to call. AQ is only a part of your range here and once you b/c otf, V can get so much value by barreling turn.

then i thought, but this is an $8 mtt and people take dumb lines and lose value all the time, so he could still have AJ.

and then he had AJ.

laugh in his face seems the only plausible response
AKs wet board facing flop ch/r ft 25K GTD Quote

      
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