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99 2/180 FT 5handed tricky spot

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12-29-2009 , 10:00 PM

TheDegenFund

veteran

Join Date: Jul 2009 Posts: 2,552

Poker Stars No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t2500.00/t5000.00 Blinds - 5 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: t16640.00 M = 2.22
Hero (BB): t35860.00 M = 4.78
UTG: t17390.00 M = 2.32
CO: t27193.00 M = 3.63
BTN: t172917.00 M = 23.06

Pre Flop: (t7500) Hero is BB with 9

2 folds, BTN raises to t20000, SB calls t14140 all in, 1 fold

BTN is darvin moon at our table, calling/shoving anything that a broadway card. QJ is the nuts for him. SB is shorty so he to call any Ax etc..

did i make the right play or should I have shoved?

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12-29-2009 , 10:26 PM

Howtown

old hand

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,599

at first glance i was leaning towards a fold but after putting it through stove im prob calling. if you give him a range of like 30% we almost have about 60% equity which is really good IMO. the shorty has a big range so it probably brings our equity down to around 50-54ish% or so. With your M i think you have to gun this spot.

People will also argue ICM here with the next shorty being in the blinds next hand but i say F that and go FTW!

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12-29-2009 , 10:34 PM

blind squirrel

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 8,195

Everybody's so short that I don't think icm is screwing with us on this one. Get it in.

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12-29-2009 , 10:59 PM

feedthabeast

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 8,302

I'm never folding here.

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12-29-2009 , 11:47 PM

pointguard

grinder

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 638

Quote:

Originally Posted by feedthabeast

I'm never folding here.

+1 given your read. I think a stop and go might be more +$ev than shoving with these stack sizes depending on BTN's range. Grain of salt though because I don't know how to prove this with math.

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