Here was a spot where I was unsure whether to call a single bb and play out of position with an ok post flop hand, or whether to shove to make him fold his probable blind stealing attempt.

He is a reg at these stakes and has ok hud stats so I thought he was capable of laying down the steal, he tanked a while before eventually calling.


$6.50+$0.50|50/100 NL (6 max) - Holdem - 5 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

BTN: 18.72 BB (VPIP: 31.25, PFR: 22.87, 3Bet Preflop: 7.79, Hands: 308)
SB: 27.9 BB (VPIP: 57.89, PFR: 21.05, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 20)
Hero (BB): 11.55 BB
UTG: 29.42 BB (VPIP: 26.09, PFR: 13.04, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 23)
CO: 2.41 BB (VPIP: 17.23, PFR: 13.74, 3Bet Preflop: 3.97, Hands: 515)

SB posts SB 0.5 BB, Hero posts BB 1 BB

Pre Flop: (pot: 1.5 BB) Hero has J Q

fold, fold, BTN raises to 2 BB, fold, Hero raises to 11.55 BB, BTN calls 9.55 BB

Flop: (23.6 BB, 2 players) 5 5 8

Turn: (23.6 BB, 2 players) 7

River: (23.6 BB, 2 players) T

BTN shows 4 A (One Pair, Fives)
(Pre 56%, Flop 75%, Turn 86%)
Hero shows J Q (One Pair, Fives)
(Pre 44%, Flop 25%, Turn 14%)
BTN wins 23.6 BB

I don't mind your shove if villain opens wide from btn and/or folds to 3bet a lot. His call is poor for a reg and is almost certainly a losing play.

If you have a Total Steal or Steal From Button stat on your HUD? That may be useful here. I tend towards a fold with QJo here