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7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit 7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit

10-08-2008 , 09:25 AM
Nice post Slim...A +++++++ as always

What about min raising there?
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
10-08-2008 , 11:27 AM
Great post slim. Just for fun (and profit?) I ran the same thing through Stox EV. You can simulate these things pretty quick once you know what you're doing - I set up this sim in a few minutes. Anyway the results match yours. If anyone's interested, here's how it looks (nb the ranges are truncated):



And here's the graph. Two things to note:

- X is the calling range of BTN using the default hand ranges (I think SK), but you can configure your own range.
- The graph is the EV of the raise/fold - not the EV difference. As we know from slims, the EV of the open fold is 0.3 something, you reducing the points by that you can see it matches the same as slims graph.



Anywho the advantage of this - other than probably being a bit quicker than doing the maths in a spreadsheet - is you can easily play around with the sim and make it more realistic - e.g. you can set SB and BB calling after the BTN overpush. Or you can quickly switch to doing a min-raise and change ranges accordingly, and see how that affects the results.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
10-08-2008 , 11:47 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Leatherface9
Appreciate the dissection of this hand. Is there any hand here that has better equity to open/shove than just open-raise really?
I think the answer is no. AK behaves much like AQ. 99-QQ are kind of bowl-shaped, but it doesn't really turn around until the big stack pushes really wide anyway. AA-KK benefit from expanding the big stack's pushing range right away, so I think the smaller raise is always best, but I haven't actually run any other hands the whole way through.


Quote:
Originally Posted by mjcace
What about min raising there?
I imagine the numbers are largely the same. Your $EV for minraising and then folding is 30.352%, instead of the 29.901%, so about a 0.45% difference. While that's definitely nothing to ignore, I worry that a minraise is going to open up BTN's pushing range. Just eyeballing the plots, if he expands his range another 10%, it would take care of that difference for sure. This seems plausible to me, especially if you consider getting flatted preflop and having to play OOP postflop as basically just you losing the hand anyway. You do get some of that back if you can open up the short stacks ranges, but I already gave them pretty wide ranges to start.


Quote:
Originally Posted by Hood
Great post slim. Just for fun (and profit?) I ran the same thing through Stox EV. You can simulate these things pretty quick once you know what you're doing - I set up this sim in a few minutes. Anyway the results match yours.
This looks awesome! I haven't looked at this program and I wasn't aware it had a tournament equity model in it.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
10-08-2008 , 03:31 PM
In case anyone was interested:


The original context/post that Slim and I discussed.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
10-08-2008 , 04:06 PM
Nice post
Since we need roughly 75%* equity to collide vs bigstack (*with no dead money) I guess that BTN can overshove ATC unless we open pretty tight (like to see how much tight ...)
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
10-08-2008 , 07:12 PM
This a of a post. Thx for putting this together.

Perhaps trolling here will break my bad habits one at a time.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
10-08-2008 , 07:49 PM
Thanks Slim, great as usual.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
10-09-2008 , 07:31 PM
bump. this is great
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
10-09-2008 , 09:43 PM
Looks like something I really need to read carefully tomorrow (when i've got more time). So... bumping this in the hope other people will read and bump this so I wont forget tomorrow. Looks great on first (quick) read.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
01-28-2009 , 02:41 PM
This is/was my biggest leak. Fixed.

(bump)
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
01-28-2009 , 03:46 PM
Didn't see this post at the time.

Really, really good post.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
01-28-2009 , 04:00 PM
Ty. Just read it - amazing ! )
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
01-28-2009 , 05:01 PM
ty, great read. 6 star thread.

What do we do here if we have 15x assuming CL has the extra 5x?
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
01-28-2009 , 05:14 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Longy
Didn't see this post at the time.

Really, really, really good post.
+1

Juk
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
03-01-2009 , 06:24 PM
Very nice post Slim..........well thought out and explained.............thanks for your effort........
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
03-27-2009 , 07:20 AM
hey there fellahs,

any chance you could re-post all those beautiful images. it seems imageshack is now blocking them.

appears to be way too good of a post to go fallow like this.

cheers,
sean

same problem with dead images in the follow-up/complement post of Hood's:

1k Post: Using Stox EV to model Slim's AQo bet/fold line

...would be mighty grateful to have a look at these post fully intact...

Last edited by theRealMacoy; 03-27-2009 at 07:33 AM.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
03-27-2009 , 09:04 AM
uh... wow.

I should spend more time looking through the archives than lurking on the first page of threads. Thank you.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
03-27-2009 , 10:29 AM
Hopefully the ban will be lifted.

However if you click on the images, you will be taken to image on imageshack and can view it there. so all is not lost!

edit: I just realized that only works for my post, which linked to the image. in this thread that's not the case. however you can still view the images: right click on the image and go "copy image location to clipboard", then open a new browser window/tab, and paste in the link address. if you still get the "image blocked", refresh. if that doesnt work, clear your browser cache and refresh.

e.g. the first image - copy this to clipboard and go to it in a new url, you can view it
http://img516.imageshack.us/img516/2682/7k1hs4.jpg

fwiw like i say i think imageshack has made an error in blocking twoplustwo, hopefully that block will be lifted

edit 2: mods already on the case, they got it fixed in the archive servers in the past so hopefully this will be resolved soon

Last edited by Hood; 03-27-2009 at 10:35 AM.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
03-28-2009 , 12:52 AM
hood,

thanks for the update.
if anyone wants to unban the imageshack images, this is the method i used employing the latest version of firefox. i don't profess to being a techno wizz-banger thus there may be fancier, or spiffier ways, but the following works and the underlying beautiful, data-rich photos will be revealed.

install the firefox add-on refcontrol: link.
restart firefox
under tools menu click "refcontrol options"
click add site
then paste: http://forumserver.twoplustwo.com
click the "edit site" button - click block - send no referrer

done

let me just say, damn, these are some fine posts.

sean
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
06-01-2010 , 10:06 PM
great post slim !

congrats on ~7.5k
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
06-01-2010 , 11:30 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by piteiracorp
great post slim !

congrats on ~7.5k
siiiiiiick bump sir.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
06-01-2010 , 11:56 PM
Nice bump! And Great post OP

OOC if u see this Slim, you said

[QUOTE=Slim Pickens;6512463]I worry that a minraise is going to open up BTN's pushing range. Just eyeballing the plots, if he expands his range another 10%, it would take care of that difference for sure. This seems plausible to me, especially if you consider getting flatted preflop and having to play OOP postflop as basically just you losing the hand anyway. You do get some of that back if you can open up the short stacks ranges, but I already gave them pretty wide ranges to start./QUOTE]

the minraise might open up BTN's pushing range, but I I think that works in our favor in the long run if we are up against a random... When random villains flat, I think its profitable to cbet 100 %. When villain raises we can let it go, but I doubt their range changes all that much from a 2.5x raise to minraise (partly because some don't see it as a weaker bet , and some think you are trapping).

... The difference is a BB imo
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
06-02-2010 , 12:36 AM
[QUOTE=smiteme;19310609]Nice bump! And Great post OP

OOC if u see this Slim, you said

Quote:
Originally Posted by Slim Pickens
I worry that a minraise is going to open up BTN's pushing range. Just eyeballing the plots, if he expands his range another 10%, it would take care of that difference for sure. This seems plausible to me, especially if you consider getting flatted preflop and having to play OOP postflop as basically just you losing the hand anyway. You do get some of that back if you can open up the short stacks ranges, but I already gave them pretty wide ranges to start./QUOTE]

the minraise might open up BTN's pushing range, but I I think that works in our favor in the long run if we are up against a random... When random villains flat, I think its profitable to cbet 100 %. When villain raises we can let it go, but I doubt their range changes all that much from a 2.5x raise to minraise (partly because some don't see it as a weaker bet , and some think you are trapping).

... The difference is a BB imo
Agree with this. It seems to me that a min-raise looks stronger to the BTN, not weaker.
7.5k post: raise/folding AQo for fun and profit Quote
06-02-2010 , 12:57 AM
oops... forgot an ] now i ****ed it all up :P
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07-20-2010 , 02:35 PM
I wish I had found this earlier.

5*


..... now I feel compelled to find more posts by Slim Pickens, Hood, and others itt.

Great OP and thread.
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