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11-13-2009 , 11:39 AM

Driskill

grinder

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 696

because of stack distribution i think i'm pretty much pushing anything here unless none of the blinds is a complete maniac
agree?

Poker Stars $6.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t1500/t3000 Blinds + t150 - 3 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: t23230 M = 4.69
BB: t27605 M = 5.58
Hero (BTN): t16665 M = 3.37

Pre Flop: (t4950) Hero is BTN with 7

Hero?

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11-13-2009 , 01:37 PM

thebigeasy59

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 19,502

heh, it's probably +ev.

edit- i would do EV calculations but i don't think i could ever quantify any sort of calling ranges for these guys since stacks are so short.

That said, you could just fold here and not fold from your bb since you can't get a worse hand next hand.

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11-13-2009 , 01:45 PM

theabstract7

grinder

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 620

hmph, While we can shove really wide here i'm personally have a hard time jamming 72s. Curious to hear what other regs have to say about this spot.

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11-13-2009 , 01:56 PM

thebigeasy59

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 19,502

If my math was right, this is +ev by ~2300 chips based on a calling range of [22+,A2s+,K2s+,Q9s+,JTs,A2o+,K2o+,Q9o+,JTo] for both villains.

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11-13-2009 , 02:23 PM

martin_malin

veteran

Join Date: Jun 2008 Posts: 3,332

If SB doesn't call any looser than 44+,A9+,A5s+,KJs (13%) and BB A3+,KJ+,33+,QJs,KTs (22%) then 72s is a +$EV shove. Shoving top 80% seems about right.

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11-13-2009 , 02:44 PM

bdaewn

veteran

Join Date: Apr 2009 Posts: 2,441

I shove

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11-13-2009 , 02:47 PM

I JaNiSaRy I

newbie

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 40

Definitely fold here.

1) you have the worst hand possible... atleast its suited haha
2) the fold gives you a little more credit when you jam for sure next hand on your BB
3) You have like a 99.9% chance of finding a better hand on your BB haha

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11-13-2009 , 02:48 PM

norwoodmatt1010

banned

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 2,344

if BB is a good player and can do basic math you have very little FE. 21.5k in pot and they only have to call 13.5k. once you take into account the prize structure its a facile call.

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11-13-2009 , 02:51 PM

bridgey321

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 274

Yeah shove as you said because of the stack distributions but not really loving it w/ 72!

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