$6.5 - 99 vs utg 13BB shove from nitty reg - MTT Poker Strategy

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$6.5 - 99 vs utg 13BB shove from nitty reg

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03-10-2010 , 12:17 PM

poporella

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 3,186

I know you vote standard, but why take the flip?
i just shoved because i know i should but not because i though it was right.

villain is 13/10 200 hands

Poker Stars $6.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t200/t400 Blinds + t25 - 6 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (MP): t3055 M = 4.07
CO: t4680 M = 6.24
BTN: t2490 M = 3.32
SB: t3405 M = 4.54
BB: t3830 M = 5.11
UTG: t5075 M = 6.77

Pre Flop: (t750) Hero is MP with 9

UTG raises to t5050 all in, Hero calls t3030 all in, 4 folds

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03-10-2010 , 12:31 PM

nejuokai

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 694

Because you have 41% equity vs nitty range such as 88+,AQo and you need only 34%.

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03-10-2010 , 12:34 PM

davethedave2

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,397

Quote:

Originally Posted by nejuokai

Because you have 41% equity vs nitty range such as 88+,AQo and you need only 34%.

Yep. With no icm considerations this is right.

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03-10-2010 , 12:35 PM

poporella

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 3,186

Quote:

Originally Posted by nejuokai

Because you have 41% equity vs nitty range such as 88+,AQo and you need only 34%.

that means you push here JTs aswell in real life...there is more than just your equity to the decision imo.
I mean that dude here in his sponsored yellow UB-gyrocopter would fold and say:

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03-10-2010 , 12:45 PM

nejuokai

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 694

Folding 99 with 3050 at 200/400 pretty like dodge one bullet to your own head

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03-10-2010 , 12:48 PM

ilya

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: May 2004 Posts: 9,003

Quote:

Originally Posted by nejuokai

Because you have 41% equity vs nitty range such as 88+,AQo and you need only 34%.

Umm you need 44%, you're only getting 1.2:1.
I mean I still call but ICM might well have it as a fold.

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03-10-2010 , 12:52 PM

nejuokai

grinder

Join Date: Jun 2009 Posts: 694

Sorry,my bad,miscount but still think call is obvious here.

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03-10-2010 , 01:07 PM

Texas Chuck

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 6,237

Folding 99 here is terribad. You shouldnt need any math to tell you that.

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