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6.5 - 99 overplay or not?

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04-08-2008 , 08:47 AM

emeriaa

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,238

Poker Stars $6.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 9 players
2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked

Hero (BTN): t1500
SB: t1500
BB: t1500
UTG: t1500
UTG+1: t1500
UTG+2: t1500
MP1: t1500
MP2: t1500
CO: t1500

Pre Flop: Hero is BTN with 9

UTG raises to t40, 3 folds, MP2 calls t40, 1 fold, Hero calls t40, 1 fold, BB calls t20

Flop: (t170) 2

(4 players)
BB checks, UTG bets t220, MP2 folds, Hero raises to t1460 all in

This very first hand of the tournament so need reads on opponent except that
sharcscope said that he is on TILT. His play is kind of strange miniraise and huge overbet on the flop? Hero call, raise, shove or fold??

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04-08-2008 , 09:17 AM

TruFloridaGator

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 22,791

Sharkscope said he is on Tilt? That thing is weird, what was his ROI? Shoving is fine in a 6.5

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04-08-2008 , 09:18 AM

Bio

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2006 Posts: 176

I think I'm playing this the same here. You obv risk running into a higher overpair, but I don't see him playing TT+ this way. (with the minraise pf and overbet on the flop)

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04-08-2008 , 09:23 AM

emeriaa

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 1,238

Quote:

Originally Posted by TruFloridaGator

Sharkscope said he is on Tilt? That thing is weird, what was his ROI? Shoving is fine in a 6.5

Roi was -2 % and read on his meant that he had 4 straight losses. maybe quite speculative read

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04-08-2008 , 09:27 AM

Shortcorner

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2006 Posts: 315

Meh, against unkown, i'm inclined to get it in, I'm not crazy about it though, we're rarely home and hosed here.

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04-08-2008 , 10:35 AM

The Lipo Fund

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 13,483

don't pay much attention to scope when they tell you a player is on "Tilt" "Super Tilt" "Elky" "Moumouth"

I am on "Super Tilt" 5 times on a good day, more on worse ones

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04-08-2008 , 10:55 AM

rewrew

centurion

Join Date: Jun 2006 Posts: 152

Personally, i'd like to float the flop and see the turn before making the decision to get it all in. The raise only gets hands you are beating to fold (although i do see some of the worser players going broke with A7 here at this level), i don't think theres enough in the pot for this to be a good spot to steal. I think the way he acts on the turn could give you a much better idea of where you are at. But it is an awkward spot and i'd like to see someone explain why my line is not good if that's the case.

Also agree don't base reads on sharkscope form rating, only long term results.

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04-08-2008 , 11:18 AM

jurrasstoil

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Sep 2007 Posts: 8,743

Since sharkscopes soul reader is still Beta, I don't trust the Form-thingie...

Overpair in a 6.50, i get it in. But i wouldn't be surprised if minraiser shows QQ+

especially when they (over)bet pot.

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