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$54 KO turbo - 99 vs good agg reg

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11-17-2011 , 10:34 PM

mcfc1234

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,132

Villain is a good reg with $165 ABI and 33% ROI. He is playing 21/19 12.5% 3B over 103 hands

I know my hand improves on the turn but I just thought this was a fold, it seemed like he had a hand and was setting up for a river shove, I may be totally wrong though do you think its ok to fold here ott?

Poker Stars, $50 Buy-in (40/80 blinds) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 9 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #11078222

CO: 4,124 (51.6 bb)
BTN: 2,145 (26.8 bb)
SB: 1,560 (19.5 bb)
Hero (BB): 2,580 (32.3 bb)
UTG+1: 4,750 (59.4 bb)
UTG+2: 3,615 (45.2 bb)
MP1: 5,858 (73.2 bb)
MP2: 1,148 (14.4 bb)
MP3: 4,335 (54.2 bb)

Preflop: Hero is BB with 9

UTG+1 folds, UTG+2 raises to 160, 6 folds, Hero calls 80

Flop: (360) 8

(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets 240, Hero calls 240

Turn: (840) 7

(2 players)
Hero checks, UTG+2 bets 585, Hero folds

Spoiler:

Get the Flash Player to use the Hold'em Manager Replayer.

thoughts appreciated

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11-17-2011 , 11:31 PM

sunnydunerz

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 6,319

NH, can't really do anything differently

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11-18-2011 , 08:27 PM

PageUp

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 5,386

I kinda like c/shoving the turn. If you can't c/shove the turn (and I'm not sure you can, I just like it) you should think about just folding the flop.

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11-18-2011 , 09:28 PM

shutEMdown

veteran

Join Date: Nov 2007 Posts: 2,843

Quote:

Originally Posted by PageUp

I kinda like c/shoving the turn. If you can't c/shove the turn (and I'm not sure you can, I just like it) you should think about just folding the flop.

c/shove turn is sexy, i like it too lol.....

i think he b/f alot there.

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11-18-2011 , 11:25 PM

gregz41

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Apr 2010 Posts: 8,609

Quote:

Originally Posted by PageUp

I kinda like c/shoving the turn. If you can't c/shove the turn (and I'm not sure you can, I just like it) you should think about just folding the flop.

was going to say c/f but this seems better, we can rep quite a bit as well.

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11-19-2011 , 01:33 AM

mcfc1234

adept

Join Date: Oct 2009 Posts: 1,132

hmm I kinda like c/shove actually didn't cross my mind in play, something I will def think about in the future but, here I just don't think he calls with worse and I can't really see too many better hands folding after he bets so much ott, so is there really any point turning 99 into a bluff? maybe I'm wrong though, you guys think he will fold alot of hands that are better here? i.e JJ-AA, 10x etc

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11-19-2011 , 01:43 AM

timetowom

banned

Join Date: Nov 2011 Posts: 2,887

check shove seems concurrent with our hand being weak and it being hard for us to have anything. i cant see check shoving sets or top two or straights. especially if the logic for check shoving is that villains hand is mostly pretty weak just single pair hands or maybe A high flush draw and overs.

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11-19-2011 , 01:19 PM

CheddarStack

journeyman

Join Date: Nov 2009 Posts: 260

check shove is sexy

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11-21-2011 , 04:41 AM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

nh fold

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