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$5.50 -- Bubble exploitation?

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10-11-2008 , 08:36 PM

Kvaughan

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 2,606

Full Tilt Poker $5 + $0.50 Sit & Go No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t50/t100 Blinds - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: t1290
BTN: t6790
SB: t3350
Hero (BB): t2070

Pre Flop: (t150) Hero is BB with Q

CO raises to t250, 2 folds, Hero?

Poker tracker is down, so no specific stats on the villain. He lost a big pot a few hands ago and has been playing pretty tight ever sense.

Is this the kind of spot I should be shoving to exploit the bubble? If no, how loose would he need to be for this to be profitable? Also, in general, what are some bubble exploitation guidelines at these stakes?

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10-11-2008 , 08:59 PM

BigWilly30

enthusiast

Join Date: Jul 2008 Posts: 85

you still have 20 BB left. He's tight and first to act, he could have any PP or A-X, and he's likely to shove if you do.

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10-11-2008 , 09:07 PM

LawJik

adept

Join Date: Mar 2008 Posts: 760

Quote:

Originally Posted by Kvaughan

Is this the kind of spot I should be shoving to exploit the bubble?

Depends on the villian and his opening/folding ranges, but the blinds aren't really that high for the bubble. I would think an average player after betting off 1/5 of his short stack in EP, is going to be calling a lot if you shove over.

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Originally Posted by Kvaughan

If no, how loose would he need to be for this to be profitable?

Shoving ~35%.

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Originally Posted by Kvaughan

Also, in general, what are some bubble exploitation guidelines at these stakes?

FAQ

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10-11-2008 , 09:10 PM

Kvaughan

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 2,606

Which part of the FAQ is supposed to help me?

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10-11-2008 , 09:12 PM

sippin_criss

Carpal \'Tunnel

Join Date: Mar 2006 Posts: 11,779

what are you trying to exploit here? i'd just fold pretty easily.

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10-12-2008 , 02:25 AM

doodydota

adept

Join Date: Jun 2007 Posts: 862

He's raising from UTG. His range should be very tight here. Pushing is very bad. I can't imagine any hand you are crushing. He's not folding TT, AJs type of hands probably.

You cannot exploint him, because he's the shortest stack and has to gamle it up anyway and you cannot afford donking off your stack. Actually you have to be the tightest player on this table given these stack sizes, because the bigger stacks might exploit YOU.

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10-12-2008 , 02:28 AM

Kvaughan

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 2,606

Quote:

Originally Posted by doodydota

He's raising from UTG. Pushing is very bad I can't imagine any hand you are crushing. He's not folding TT, AJ type of hands probably. You cannot exploint him, because he's the shortest stack and has to gamle it up anyway and you cannot afford donking off your stack. Actually you have to be the tightest player on this table given these stack sizes, because the bigger stacks might exploit YOU.

superb response. Thanks.

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