$5.5 AKs on the bubble against stealer - MTT Poker Strategy

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$5.5 AKs on the bubble against stealer

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06-18-2010 , 01:09 PM

Grgapm

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 305

This guy's been pretty aggressive, 30/28 filtered through 40 hands. I expect him to shove pretty wide, but we have the shortstack...

Poker Stars $5.00+$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t200/t400 Blinds + t25 - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

SB: t1460 M = 2.09
BB: t4400 M = 6.29
CO: t3760 M = 5.37
Hero (BTN): t3880 M = 5.54

Pre Flop: (t700) Hero is BTN with K

CO raises to t3735 all in, Hero raises to t3855 all in, 2 folds

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06-18-2010 , 01:27 PM

Jarheadian

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 548

ummm did you have a question about shoving AKs? sorry if you got bad beat.

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06-18-2010 , 01:29 PM

mrslippyfist4

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 509

I this a fold I think. I have ran the numbers and situation in sng wiz and It says fold. also I have overridden the opening % from the cutoff to even 100 percent and it is still a fold because sng wiz says that you should be calling 99+. I feel like that is a little tight(someone please correct me if im wrong) but this hand is very close. But i would fold here.

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06-18-2010 , 01:35 PM

Jarheadian

grinder

Join Date: Dec 2007 Posts: 548

I apologize I looked at this hand wrong I thought it was bvb (sorry oops)

Yea this is a fold. QQ+ (like mrslippy said unless you think he is jamming 100% then 99+)

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06-18-2010 , 01:44 PM

kinkykettle

newbie

Join Date: Jan 2010 Posts: 41

easy call imo, lots of dead money in the pot villain will be shoving any ace and probably kq/kj with him being so agressive.

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06-18-2010 , 01:47 PM

Grgapm

journeyman

Join Date: Jun 2010 Posts: 305

I used up my time bank thinking what to do, looked like a really tough decision and still not quite sure what's the right choice.
As a side note, I'm really impressed how these forum improved my game tremendously. Two weeks ago I'd snap shove. Thanks for the input!

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06-18-2010 , 01:48 PM

Kvaughan

veteran

Join Date: Sep 2008 Posts: 2,606

88+ against ATC
QQ+ against 30% and a call is -.76. EZ fold.

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06-18-2010 , 01:51 PM

mrslippyfist4

grinder

Join Date: Jan 2009 Posts: 509

Quote:

Originally Posted by kinkykettle

easy call imo, lots of dead money in the pot villain will be shoving any ace and probably kq/kj with him being so agressive.

I also really feel like hero is ahead in the hand but in a sng you sometimes have to fold when you know your ahead because in this situation it would really hurt too much to be crippled on the bubble with a guy in the bb with 4 bbs.

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