33q quick preflop spot close to FT bubble - MTT Poker Strategy

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy No Limit Tournaments

33q quick preflop spot close to FT bubble

Post Reply Subscribe

...

09-05-2011 , 07:35 AM

zedveron

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 4,976

11 people left, table playing extremely aggro, opener is 18/14 with 34% steal over a large sample of 700 hands but playing a lot looser than that at this table, shover is 30/27 with 13.6% 3bet over 45 hands.

Poker Stars, $30 Buy-in (3,000/6,000 blinds, 750 ante) No Limit Hold'em Tournament, 5 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite. View Hand #10497602

MP: 70,299 (11.7 bb)
CO: 111,935 (18.7 bb)
BTN: 188,147 (31.4 bb)
SB: 332,128 (55.4 bb)
Hero (BB): 139,814 (23.3 bb)

Preflop: (3,750) Hero is BB with A

2 folds, BTN raises to 12,600, SB raises to 331,378 and is all-in, Hero...

Quote

09-05-2011 , 07:42 AM

The_Stro_Sho

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Dec 2008 Posts: 4,444

fold, hes shoving 31 BBs eff. + there are 2 stacks shorter than you on this table alone.

Quote

09-05-2011 , 07:43 AM

davethedave2

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 4,397

Fold. Ignoring BTN, SB has to be shoving > 12% to give you equity to get it in. Given that its a 30bb shove on FT bubble I think thats unlikely.

Also obv BTN could have a hand and you cant discount top end of SBs range that much. And there is an ICM effect.

Quote

09-05-2011 , 08:07 AM

unrealzeal

banned

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 13,990

not an easy fold by any stretch..a call here can win the tournament for you and be worth Ks...I dunno zed, it's probably a fold but it's super close if they are playing that loose

Quote

09-05-2011 , 09:07 AM

jjyykk

now YugiohPro

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 9,399

snapfold.

Quote

09-05-2011 , 11:56 AM

isuxatpokerbad

2015 WSOP ME Champ

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 7,629

thafck? snapcall, nits itt

Quote

09-05-2011 , 01:32 PM

Firaldo87

adept

Join Date: Sep 2009 Posts: 1,168

Quote:

Originally Posted by isuxatpokerbad

thafck? snapcall, nits itt

yep, he most likely induces all better Ax and shoves worse

Quote

09-05-2011 , 01:40 PM

furo

deviation of equilibrium

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 29,639

would call if he 3b/c the top of his range. without reads on that i think folding is fine.

Quote

09-05-2011 , 07:11 PM

pyxlius

grinder

Join Date: Mar 2009 Posts: 578

has he been 3b shoving only? or switching between 3betting and 3b shoving?
seems pretty close to me too. if we can discount top of his range then im leaning towards call.

Quote

09-06-2011 , 03:18 AM

#10

CaliStyle

See my staking thread

Join Date: Mar 2004 Posts: 4,356

fold

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...