The problem here is that the villain is one of the spewiest monkeys I've ever encountered (48/41 over 80 hands and -26% roi at the $18 level). He has been playing almost every hand, any cards, any way, up to this very hand.

The other issue is that yes it's the bubble and there are two shorties, but the shorties are 20 bb deep, and the bubble might go on and on... there's no reason to think i can fold through the bubble in a few orbits. I think?

Am i raising preflop when there's practically no fold equity against this villain?

Full Tilt Poker $33 + $3 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t40/t80 Blinds - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

CO: t5070 M = 42.25
Hero (BTN): t5075 M = 42.29
SB: t1700 M = 14.17
BB: t1655 M = 13.79

Pre Flop: (t120) Hero is BTN with T T
CO raises to t160, Hero calls t160, 1 fold, BB calls t80

Flop: (t520) 9 6 4 (3 players)
BB checks, CO bets t4910 all in

Hero?

fold here

I'd probably fold in-game but this might be close. For future posters: what % equity would we actually need to make this a right call anyways?

72.6% assuming BB always folds. But you obv want a big edge to make it worth calling. I think it's a weird hand but a clear fold.

We have to have >73% equity here vs his range. Do we not?