Villain has been really loose over 19 hands. Stats 42/5/0.
I guess I should be calling any two pre due to pot odds given?
Villain raises big on flop, already knew he was holding a big hand since he hadn't been 3betting earlier. My guess is his range contains a lot of Ax and some pockets 99-AA (blocking AA though).
7 players post ante of 0.13 BB, SB posts SB 0.5 BB, BB posts BB 1 BB
Pre Flop:(pot: 2.37 BB)Hero has 9 A
fold, fold, Hero raises to 2.1 BB, CO raises to 3.2 BB, fold, fold, fold, Hero calls 1.1 BB
Flop:(8.77 BB, 2 players) 8 8 A Hero checks, CO bets 8.77 BB, Hero raises to 19.1 BB and is all-in, CO calls 10.32 BB
Turn:(46.97 BB, 2 players) 6
River:(46.97 BB, 2 players) 4
Spoiler:
Hero shows 9 A (Two Pair, Aces and Eights)
(Pre 25%, Flop 18%, Turn 10%) CO shows K A (Two Pair, Aces and Eights)
(Pre 75%, Flop 82%, Turn 90%) CO wins 46.97 BB
Guess you still need to call pre, because odds. But Im not thrilled, quite frankly considering a fold here.
Flop, obviously an atrocious bet by villain. Makes no sense to bomb with a made hand, but also makes no sense to bomb with a bluff. Long story short, passive players dont bet like that with nothing. They also are pretty nutty when 3betting, even if its just a click it back. I dont think youll see even close to enough worse hands to continue here. Which is also why I dont mind folding pre. Even with sick odds, you only feel good with 2pair or a strong draw.
Bizarrely, it can't be that far from a fold to the 3 bet preflop
I probably end up half pot bet/folding this flop. These kind of guys are going to absolutely ram a strong hand on every street so we should be able to get away immediately if we're beat.
As played a check/fold is fine - I just wonder if it gives up value and advantage to a KK/QQ that will probably check/call all the way down but might find a bet on the turn/river without us leading at any point.