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.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? .25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ?

03-08-2010 , 08:15 PM
Poker Stars $3.00+$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t75/t150 Blinds - 3 players

The villain has folded in the small blind three consecutive times and in only one of the cases did the button raise. If the villain has been observing my play, it would appear that I have been playing tight and aggressive.

Hero (BB): t2605 M = 11.58
BTN: t3720 M = 16.53
SB: t2675 M = 11.89

Pre Flop: (t225) Hero is BB with Q A
1 fold, SB raises to t2675 all in

Even though my M is low, given that the villain folded the last three times in the SB, I am almost certainly up against a good hand. I figure I am up against 66+ (excluding AA, KK, and QQ because the villain would probably raise 2xBB or 3xBB), ATs+, and maybe KQs.

1st place receives $11.70, 2nd receives $6.30 and 3rd receives nothing. If someone would evaluate this situation using the Bubble Factor from Kill Everyone, I would greatly appreciate it.

Of course I would appreciate any replies concerning whether I should call or fold, or if my estimated range of the villain's hands is inaccurate.
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote
03-08-2010 , 08:58 PM
This is a borderline situation, but folding is best. Villain range should be a bit larger than that, even tight people will shove more hands here.

And 11BB at bubble is not really low.
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote
03-08-2010 , 09:11 PM
I fold on that spot.
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote
03-09-2010 , 12:23 AM
tbh I would fold not worth it and no fold equity. I don't see how you would be ahead maybe 50/50 or possibly behind.
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote
03-09-2010 , 12:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by mancougar
tbh I would fold not worth it and no fold equity. I don't see how you would be ahead maybe 50/50 or possibly behind.
pure gold.
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote
03-09-2010 , 12:51 AM
well it is hard to make someone fold when they are all in, he makes a valid point
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote
03-09-2010 , 03:43 AM
I think this is one of those hands where even if you think you are marginally ahead you have to fold due to ICM reasons.

The only hands you are ahead of are AJ/AT, unless he's a donk pushing Kx. He'll have a lot of pps in here which will be slightly favored against you too.

To me it's an easy fold.
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote
03-09-2010 , 08:52 AM
As some of the guys above have pointed out, you have absolutely NO fold equity and therefore this is a snapfold
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote
03-09-2010 , 09:06 AM
I think your hand range estimates are correct.
.25 Turbo 6-Max - Preflop Fold AQ? Quote

      
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