$27 600/1200 bubble spot - MTT Poker Strategy - Multi Table Tournament Poker Forum

Two Plus Two Forums Poker Strategy No Limit Tournaments

$27 600/1200 bubble spot

Post Reply Subscribe

...

02-17-2010 , 04:19 PM

JacJacAtk

adept

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,064

BTN and SB are good regulars, and I assume BTN sees me as a reg.

Poker Stars $25+$2 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t600/t1200 Blinds + t75 - 4 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

Hero (BB): t2700 M = 1.29
CO: t660 M = 0.31
BTN: t6550 M = 3.12
SB: t3590 M = 1.71

Pre Flop: (t2100) Hero is BB with A

1 fold, BTN raises to t6475 all in, 1 fold, Hero?

Quote

02-17-2010 , 04:27 PM

Wund3r

journeyman

Join Date: Oct 2007 Posts: 259

pretty gross i'd probably just fold. CO is BB next hand and will have the 2 bigstacks vs him to knock him out I would assume

Quote

02-17-2010 , 04:45 PM

CCuster_911

You Only Live Once

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 24,435

Quote:

Originally Posted by Wund3r

pretty gross i'd probably just fold. CO is BB next hand and will have the 2 bigstacks vs him to knock him out I would assume

I think we fold but we also prob need to get involved in the next hand no matter what seeing as CO is guaranteed all in and we will have him covered.

CO would have to beat 3 players, an you would have to lose to both of the other two in order to get 4th

Quote

02-17-2010 , 05:37 PM

Razzzinger

newbie

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 21

fold for ever! The next Hand the SS probably will go out, why you want to risk now?

Quote

02-17-2010 , 06:30 PM

DirtyP

journeyman

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 257

Even though we're fairing pretty well versus villain's range here, still have to fold because shorty is just too goddamn short. That is all.

Quote

02-17-2010 , 06:38 PM

JacJacAtk

adept

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,064

FWIW, Wiz makes this a +1.4% call vs ATC.

Quote

02-17-2010 , 08:32 PM

CCuster_911

You Only Live Once

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 24,435

Quote:

Originally Posted by JacJacAtk

FWIW, Wiz makes this a +1.4% call vs ATC.

I dont have wiz but will get this soon. Can you enter it what folding will do than what a 4 way all in for 1200 next hand will do(too big stacks limp), you call all in and SB is all in from blind. Obv all ranges are atc.

Quote

02-17-2010 , 09:30 PM

JacJacAtk

adept

Join Date: Sep 2006 Posts: 1,064

Big stack shouldn't be on ATC on the next hand according to Wiz. I don't have the equilibrium handy, but I think it's something in the 30-40% range for him, and a bit less than 90% for me.

There's about a 0% chance of the next hand being a 4-way AI. If big stack plays it'll be a push (maybe he'd limp a monster), other big stack is only jamming JJ+ or QQ+ behind that, after which I should only want to get in with like KK+.

Quote

02-18-2010 , 05:43 AM

Keitan

grinder

Join Date: Jul 2007 Posts: 666

What a sick spot. If you fold next hand you will most likely have to get in vs shorty unless one of the other two have a decent hand and if you lose that you are left with 800 and current shorty will be in SB with 1300. If he folds his SB (most likely) he'll be left with 700 and can hold off until you hit the BB.

Assuming that's right if you fold here you will have to lose 2 hands to be eliminated in 4th but you will be forced to play both those hands. So the question is whether to play one hand now knowing you are ahead of villain's range, or take your chance HU vs shorty next hand with insurance of one more hand should you lose.

Last edited by Keitan; 02-18-2010 at 05:50 AM.

Quote

Post Reply Subscribe

...