$220 Satelitte Tourney, 33 on Button
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 53
Satelitte tournament $220, 25 left out of 35. 7 Seats.
average stack of 24k, blinds of 300/60, antes 100. Hero on button with 33(18.5bb)
CO, LAG, raises 2bb. SB, solid player, has 45bb. BB, TAG, 15BB.
Hero should a) shove? B) fold? C) re-raise? d) flat?
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 4,496
wout a clear read/plan i never 3b or flat here. first thought is clear shove but if my ranges are correct its close to breakeven between shove/fold. think shove still since live players can make some atrocious folds but i truly believe the difference in expectation is less than 1 SB
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 53
Can you go into more how you got to conclusion? I'm really a tourney newb and wouldn't mind a clearer explanations, breaking it down to the elementary terms.
Join Date: Sep 2009
Posts: 4,496
i ranged a LAG in CO opens 26% and calls vs your shove 11%. so after you shove he will fold ~55% and call ~45%. also, the blinds will coldcall you about 6% of the time and when you combine all these things you get called ~50% of the time. when called 33 has around 36% equity
50%(we get action)x24000(roughly the pot when called)=12000x.36(our equity)=4320
50%(we get folds)x14000(pot when everyone folds to our shove)=7000
7000+4320=11320 >11100(our stack to start the hand)
minor changes in the player description can make this an easy shove or fold but w the info i have thats my guess
Join Date: Nov 2013
Posts: 53
I followed you up until the blinds calling off for 6%, where does that percentage come from?
