Full Tilt Poker The $200K Double Deuce No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t15/t30 Blinds - 9 players
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MP1: t5540 M = 123.11
MP2: t3105 M = 69
CO: t1730 M = 38.44
BTN: t3440 M = 76.44
SB: t3205 M = 71.22
BB: t2155 M = 47.89
UTG: t3970 M = 88.22
UTG+1: t2750 M = 61.11
Hero (UTG+2): t3085 M = 68.56

Pre Flop: (t45) Hero is UTG+2 with A K
1 fold, UTG+1 calls t30, Hero raises to t105, 2 folds, CO calls t105, 3 folds, UTG+1 calls t75

Flop: (t360) 3 T A (3 players)
UTG+1 checks, Hero bets t350, CO folds, UTG+1 raises to t1005, Hero ...


Villian has been doing a lot of limping including in early position, but we are early in the tournament and don't have much of a read so far. I did see him call a turn raise with 2nd pair and a 1 card gutshot.

His stats are 46/8 but only over 13 hands

God no. Get it in the middle.

Bet less on flop. i fold this pretty comfortably without the Kh. we're either slightly ahead or drawing virtually dead.

How much less would you bet on the flop and what is the reason a smaller bet would be better?

If it was "an easy fold" I doubt you would have posted it

That's what I was thinking. Lots of hands he's playing this way instead of shoving, we beat on the flop. I would likely put villian on some gutshot straight draws with any hearts, and all weaker aces, as well as some PP's with a heart.

Pot sized bet on flop doesn't seem best here.

into 360... I would bet around 280. This way it becomes easier to fold since we have invested less (and accomplished the same).
Ship and fold both seem like they should be in your arsenal.
That being said....SSHHIIPPPP
we smash the equity of his range imo, with so many KJ type hands w/ Jhearts

Shove

We're flipping with KhJx and KxJh, I'd hardly call that smashing their range.

+1
only line imo

ppl with stats like 46/8 tend to do mutch more calling than raising... pritty sure u are behind here.
Easy fold

Bet less at flopp 250ish is good enough imo

this and more pre though

+11111, I'm so not stacking off here. In low buyins, people play relatively straightforward on monotone flops (at least in my experience).

Bet 240, and fold to any raise. I imagine the guy either has a set or a flopped flush enough of the time that stacking off is very unprofitable.

I'd go alleronie