Originally Posted by MountainBum
I have been working on the math part of my game lately so I thought I would try it for this hand, not sure if your tourny life at stake comes into play here with calculations?
If I did this right:
Pot= 4600
You= 5700 behind after posting BB+ante
SB= has you covered so 5700 you can win from him
Total pot= 10,300, 5700 for you to call, so your getting right around 1.9-1 odds.
So at 1.9-1 odds you need 34% equity which I am pretty sure we will have since sb's range should be really wide.
Even if we give him a tighter range i think this is still always a call unless icm is a factor which it isnt. Below is stoved if villian is pushing top 27%, which is any pair, any broadway, and any Ace.
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
2,328,733,440 games 0.005 secs 465,746,688,000 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 40.498% 39.96% 00.54% 930503812 12576328.00 { T9s }
Hand 1: 59.502% 58.96% 00.54% 1373076972 12576328.00 { 22+, A2s+, KTs+, QTs+, JTs, A2o+, KTo+, QTo+, JTo }
---
(40%)x(10,300)+(59%)x(-5700)= +757 chips
So above is a super tight range for sb, which is still a +ev call to make. We know hes not shoving (probably) that tight of a range though, so below we will do ATC (100%).
Text results appended to pokerstove.txt
8,390,289,600 games 0.005 secs 1,678,057,920,000 games/sec
Board:
Dead:
equity win tie pots won pots tied
Hand 0: 54.028% 52.38% 01.65% 4394571368 138494750.00 { T9s }
Hand 1: 45.972% 44.32% 01.65% 3718728732 138494750.00 { random }
(54%)x(10,300)+(46%)x(-5700)= 2940 chips, which is an insta slap er ass hi five her
boyfriend +1.5bb +ev call.
So either way, at the tight end of his range or 100% of his range, including anything inbetween those (26%-99%) this is def. a call. This guy would have to be pushing the very top of his range for this to be a fold (maybe). If i did something wrong let me know.