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15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? 15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT?

02-05-2018 , 04:16 PM
It's a Bounty tournament so I have the chance to get a double knockout but I know I'm probably less than 50% with at least one player having overs and the other maybe an over pair... is it actually a fold preflop as I still have some playability with 15bb?


PokerStars - 250/500 Ante 50 NL - Holdem - 9 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

UTG: 12,627 (VPIP: 7.69, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
UTG+1: 23,621 (VPIP: 23.08, PFR: 25.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
MP: 33,855 (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
MP+1: 20,381 (VPIP: 37.14, PFR: 31.43, 3Bet Preflop: 26.67, Hands: 36)
MP+2: 14,438 (VPIP: 53.85, PFR: 23.08, 3Bet Preflop: 12.50, Hands: 13)
CO: 5,300 (VPIP: 15.38, PFR: 7.69, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
BTN: 5,094 (VPIP: 23.08, PFR: 8.33, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
SB: 20,200 (VPIP: 7.69, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 13)
Hero (BB): 7,471

9 players post ante of 50, SB posts SB 250, Hero posts BB 500

Pre Flop: (pot: 1,200) Hero has 4 4

fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, CO raises to 5,250 and is all-in, BTN calls 5,044 and is all-in, fold, Hero calls 4,750

Flop: (16,244, 3 players) 5 7 5

Turn: (16,244, 3 players) K

River: (16,244, 3 players) 3

Hero shows 4 4 (Two Pair, Fives and Fours)

Main Pot [15,832]: (Pre 18%, Flop 14%, Turn 5%)
Side Pot#1 [412]: (Pre 20%, Flop 14%, Turn 5%)

CO shows 9 9 (Two Pair, Nines and Fives)

Main Pot [15,832]: (Pre 55%, Flop 74%, Turn 88%)
Side Pot#1 [412]: (Pre 81%, Flop 86%, Turn 95%)

BTN shows A 8 (One Pair, Fives)

Main Pot [15,832]: (Pre 27%, Flop 12%, Turn 7%)

CO wins 16,244
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-05-2018 , 04:38 PM
Don't show results.

I think the answer depends a lot on whether this is a progressive and what the value is of their bounties.

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15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-05-2018 , 04:40 PM
Yes progressive, bounties relatively small as it was early stage of tourney which makes me lead to a fold.
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-05-2018 , 06:59 PM
I think it's prob a call - it's hard to construct ranges that give you less than about 27/28% - you need 29% to call in chip terms - add in the bounties and it's a reasonable spot to gamble.
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-06-2018 , 05:54 AM
yeah im calling here.
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-06-2018 , 09:36 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldgoat
I think it's prob a call - it's hard to construct ranges that give you less than about 27/28% - you need 29% to call in chip terms - add in the bounties and it's a reasonable spot to gamble.
Really? If we assign ranges like:

CO: 22+, A2s+, KJs+
BTN: 22+, A8s+, KQs

Hero only has 21%. In fact it's hard to get Hero up to 28%, unless I'm not doing it properly.

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15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-06-2018 , 01:48 PM
I think this is a fold here w/15 BB's especially in a bounty tournament. Just because you have a bounty your opponents range is going to expand and your pretty much beat by any cards over 4 that pair and hit the board. I like the option to fold and wait on a better hand.
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-06-2018 , 01:55 PM
I also think it is a fold. Obviously an easy call against one player. But against two, and at such an early stage where the bounties haven't risen too much, I think you can find a better spot to hunt those booties.
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-06-2018 , 02:42 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Darth_Maul
Really? If we assign ranges like:

CO: 22+, A2s+, KJs+
BTN: 22+, A8s+, KQs

Hero only has 21%. In fact it's hard to get Hero up to 28%, unless I'm not doing it properly.

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but these ranges are daft - they're way too weighted towards pairs and you're excluding masses of unsuited broadway type hands that increase our equity

CO 22+,A2s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,A9o+,KJo+,QJo (about 20%)
BU 66+,A8s+,KTs+,QJs,ATo+,KJo+ (about 13.5%)

gives us over 28% - and I think these ranges are pretty tight
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-06-2018 , 04:18 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by oldgoat
but these ranges are daft - they're way too weighted towards pairs and you're excluding masses of unsuited broadway type hands that increase our equity

CO 22+,A2s+,K9s+,QTs+,JTs,A9o+,KJo+,QJo (about 20%)
BU 66+,A8s+,KTs+,QJs,ATo+,KJo+ (about 13.5%)

gives us over 28% - and I think these ranges are pretty tight
I guess I could see that range for CO shoving but so you really think BTN is calling that wide?

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15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-06-2018 , 04:55 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Darth_Maul
I guess I could see that range for CO shoving but so you really think BTN is calling that wide?

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yeah maybe a little wide - but even if we narrow BTN to 77+,ATs+,KQs,AJo+,KQo (about 9.5%) we're still over 27%
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-07-2018 , 01:46 AM
if you feel like gambling call, if you dont fold

Last edited by wowsooooted; 02-07-2018 at 01:48 AM. Reason: v can show with better pairs alot so personally I would fold
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-08-2018 , 07:47 PM
I think button seems reasonably strong, because he called the all in even though he can't even win the bounty and won't have any fold equity with 2 people to act behind. This call will be down to the size of the bounties of the players for the most part. Would def fold this in a non knockout tournament and almost always for min bounties, but if they're any bigger or one of them shoves wide I'd go for it.
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-09-2018 , 06:38 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by pyrde50
I think button seems reasonably strong, because he called the all in even though he can't even win the bounty and won't have any fold equity with 2 people to act behind. This call will be down to the size of the bounties of the players for the most part. Would def fold this in a non knockout tournament and almost always for min bounties, but if they're any bigger or one of them shoves wide I'd go for it.
I don't think button has to be strong here. Even though he can't win a bounty trying to double up in a good spot up and possibly hunting other bounties is a legitimate strategy imo. I would look at his stats if I have a reasonable sample to figure out if he is a nit or more loose.
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote
02-09-2018 , 10:15 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Yonas47
I don't think button has to be strong here. Even though he can't win a bounty trying to double up in a good spot up and possibly hunting other bounties is a legitimate strategy imo. I would look at his stats if I have a reasonable sample to figure out if he is a nit or more loose.
Yeah of course look at the stats etc (forgot to mention that) but I think he's a lot stronger with 10 BB in this position than with 11 BB... The addition of a bounty helps a lot to widen the range
15bb 44 in BB call two shoves in Bounty MTT? Quote

      
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