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14 players left, turn decision with 77? 14 players left, turn decision with 77?

08-29-2014 , 12:39 PM
888 Poker - $3.55+$0.45|3500/7000 Ante 700 NL - Holdem - 8 players
Hand converted by PokerTracker 4

MP+1: 37,421 (VPIP: 5.80, PFR: 3.03, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 69)
CO: 335,195 (VPIP: 19.27, PFR: 17.58, 3Bet Preflop: 1.75, Hands: 194)
BTN: 124,036 (VPIP: 28.57, PFR: 28.57, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 7)
SB: 114,494 (VPIP: 23.33, PFR: 13.79, 3Bet Preflop: 11.11, Hands: 31)
BB: 65,512 (VPIP: 6.67, PFR: 0.00, 3Bet Preflop: 0.00, Hands: 15)
Hero (UTG): 178,292
UTG+1: 117,109 (VPIP: 16.67, PFR: 10.64, 3Bet Preflop: 5.56, Hands: 96)
MP: 104,063 (VPIP: 33.33, PFR: 31.43, 3Bet Preflop: 16.67, Hands: 36)

8 players post ante of 700, SB posts SB 3,500, BB posts BB 7,000

Pre Flop: (pot: 16,100) Hero has 7 7

Hero raises to 15,000, UTG+1 calls 15,000, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold, fold

Flop: (46,100, 2 players) 5 3 K
Hero bets 21,250, UTG+1 calls 21,250

Turn: (88,600, 2 players) 6
[color=red]Hero?

Hey dudes and dudettes, when I was playing I had assessed that he had a range of Kx hands, 22-1010 (maybe JJ?) and very few FD's after his flop call. First of all, do we reckon this range is accurate and secondly, should I shove this turn since I've picked up equity against his made hands or check fold because most of his range isnt folding/has me crushed here?
I'm interested to hear your thoughts, peace dudes
14 players left, turn decision with 77? Quote
08-29-2014 , 11:12 PM
I reckon if he had a spade draw he'd shove the flop. So when a 16/10/5 calls your utg raise from ep and cbet his range is 100% capped towards Kx hands. I don't think it's a float. It's most likely AK KQ or KJ. So I would likely just be giving up now as we aren't getting more than two streets of value (if there's value) from him anyway if he sucks and is calling with a draw with his nothing stack.

Also, if you considered turning your hand into a bluff by shoving on that spade "scare card" do you think he will really fold a K when he has no stack left? Ya I think that's hopeful...
14 players left, turn decision with 77? Quote
08-29-2014 , 11:43 PM
What is he flatting here with 15bb's? We may need to weight this to us being in really bad shape. I think it is best case that he has Kx here. As you said, we have some equity, but I think we need to C/F. I think he is super strong here and we are not folding out an SPR of 1 often enough OTT to shove here. I think our spade is dead, so we have 5 clean outs. Unless he checks back, we are likely done here.
14 players left, turn decision with 77? Quote
08-30-2014 , 07:52 PM
I c/f turn. There is nothing we can beat that flats from UTG+1 on 15x stack and calls 1/2 pot on this board. And the only better hands we can prolly get him to fold is something like 88-TT with no spade. If V was competent, I'd be worried from the minute he flatted in UTG+1 on a 15x stack, tho.
14 players left, turn decision with 77? Quote

      
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