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$12: AQs vs HJ open

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08-28-2009 , 01:09 AM

pompeypoker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,100

villain was 10/6 with an att to steal of 22.

Full Tilt Poker $11 + $1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t40/t80 Blinds - 9 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

UTG: t1410 M = 11.75
UTG+1: t1365 M = 11.38
UTG+2: t1290 M = 10.75
MP1: t1105 M = 9.21
MP2: t1900 M = 15.83
CO: t1125 M = 9.38
BTN: t2345 M = 19.54
Hero (SB): t1205 M = 10.04
BB: t1755 M = 14.62

Pre Flop: (t120) Hero is SB with Q

4 folds, MP2 raises to t200, 2 folds, Hero requests TIME, 1 fold

i thought about shoving cause i'm kinda short and i know he's raising worse hands than AQs, but i dunno how strong his range is here.

Last edited by Beerocrat; 08-28-2009 at 10:09 AM. Reason: please include buy-in in the title

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08-28-2009 , 01:20 AM

Jabong82

adept

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,121

I think I fold here. Pretty marginal spot against tight villain with blinds being fairly low.

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08-28-2009 , 01:24 AM

flettl2

adept

Join Date: Dec 2006 Posts: 746

this is a tough spot for me too, i'd push against some ppl but not these stats, i would push against him if he was in CO though

Last edited by flettl2; 08-28-2009 at 01:35 AM.

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08-28-2009 , 01:44 AM

random_hero

stranger

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 9

I lean towards a fold here. your not desperate yet. fold and wait for a better spot.

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08-28-2009 , 01:53 AM

Bonneville

old hand

Join Date: Nov 2008 Posts: 1,979

Quote:

Originally Posted by pompeypoker

villain was 10/6 with an att to steal of 22.

i thought about shoving cause i'm kinda short and i know he's raising worse hands than AQs, but i dunno how strong his range is here.

What about his stats lead you to believe he's raising worse here? If he was in BTN, I'd be more inclined to push, but these stats don't make me think he's going nuts with AJo from hijack. I fold it too.

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08-28-2009 , 02:12 AM

pompeypoker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,100

i'm 98% certain he's raising AJs and AQo, and possibly AJo and A10s.

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08-28-2009 , 02:47 AM

Jabong82

adept

Join Date: May 2009 Posts: 1,121

Given your assumption about his ranges, if he opens/calls with what you suggest, SNG Wizard says this is a JJ+ AK spot which sounds about right. If you think he's opening that tight this is fo sho a fold.

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08-28-2009 , 09:27 AM

The_Admiral

old hand

Join Date: May 2008 Posts: 1,468

His steal % is 22 right? - roughly Ax, 22+ and KQ. If you half this range to 11% we're still a 55% favourite.

This is an easy shove even though he's not stealing this wide from HJ. He'll credit you with a monster and fold a lot of hands like 99.

T320 on the table, take it or make him beat your big hand.

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08-28-2009 , 10:02 AM

dave1mo

old hand

Join Date: Sep 2005 Posts: 1,821

The number of hands you've played with him is very relevant.

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08-28-2009 , 11:54 AM

#10

pompeypoker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,100

Quote:

Originally Posted by beerocrat

Reason: please include buy-in in the title

yes i did read the thread telling you to make sure the buy ins are in the title, i totally forgot till about 15 mins after i posted when i saw my thread title in STTF. i tried editing the title but it was annoyingly too late.

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08-28-2009 , 11:55 AM

#11

Ronny Mahoni

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,452

Ähm, his att to steal doesnt matter as he is in MP2 and this isnt a steal position afaik.

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08-28-2009 , 11:59 AM

#12

pompeypoker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,100

Quote:

Originally Posted by dave1mo

The number of hands you've played with him is very relevant.

around 600+.

Last edited by pompeypoker; 08-28-2009 at 12:09 PM.

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08-28-2009 , 12:01 PM

#13

pompeypoker

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,100

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ronny Mahoni

Ähm, his att to steal doesnt matter as he is in MP2 and this isnt a steal position afaik.

this is correct, the stat is for CO and btn (and maybe sb?), but it is useful, unless you think he steals a lot from CO and btn but never from HJ.

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08-28-2009 , 12:03 PM

#14

7castle

veteran

Join Date: Feb 2008 Posts: 2,161

With these stats its an easy fold imo, he need to open/call hands like A9o or open/fold hands like A6o to make this play profitable. TT/AK imo, 99 if you are Anfield Road

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