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$11 AA ITM on paired flop

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04-10-2010 , 05:56 AM

Hockeywik

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 162

Villain is 50/10 and 36/20 for 25 hands of 100/200 (total AF 2,8).

Poker Stars $10+$1 No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t100/t200 Blinds - 3 players
The Official 2+2 Hand Converter Powered By DeucesCracked.com

BTN: t3370 M = 11.23
Hero (SB): t3450 M = 11.50
BB: t6680 M = 22.27

Pre Flop: (t300) Hero is SB with A

1 fold, Hero raises to t500, BB calls t300

Flop: (t1000) 7

(2 players)
Hero bets t700, BB raises to t6180 all in, Hero calls t2250 all in

Turn: (t6900) 3

(2 players - 2 are all in)

River: (t6900) 5

(2 players - 2 are all in)

He is loose, and made his way to ITM by playing poor hands and flopping flushes or two pair. He certainly has many queens in his range, but 7's too. I belive he would shove any PP preflop, so thats not in his range.

Given my play I have to call, but would u guys take another line postflop?

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04-10-2010 , 06:05 AM

mavs

old hand

Join Date: Mar 2010 Posts: 1,796

Samo samo

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04-10-2010 , 10:11 AM

zecasaralegu

adept

Join Date: Feb 2009 Posts: 993

nh, i would expect a good player facing another good played to overshove a Q here, a 50/10 donk would slowplay this 99% of the time (i guess he had the Q if you are posting it)

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04-10-2010 , 10:13 AM

Ronny Mahoni

Pooh-Bah

Join Date: Oct 2008 Posts: 4,452

He also some flushes and some air in his range too. Also youre getting good odds, ez call.

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04-10-2010 , 01:23 PM

Hockeywik

centurion

Join Date: Aug 2009 Posts: 162

Quote:

Originally Posted by zecasaralegu

(i guess he had the Q if you are posting it)

of course

But I was more interested in a postflop line evaluation. What if we check?

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04-10-2010 , 01:43 PM

RaDeoon

newbie

Join Date: Feb 2010 Posts: 28

This is always hard board for overpair, but you are playing 10+1. That means, you have to call, in these stakes you always can meet crazy guy, who wants to bluff you, who pushes the 7 and very rarely have that set. Also you are playing STT, you are in ITM, so you can rely on long run, which means you mostly crash into guy, who just doesnt have the queen. In ITM, your odds doesnt have to be awesome, thanks to ICM if you are in the money, you can play as much coinflip as you can and I can promise you that in these stakes and in this spot you have better odds than 50%:50%, so this call is EV+.

But I am not a master of world. Just profitable at same 11usd.

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04-10-2010 , 02:24 PM

Mr.Happy

adept

Join Date: Dec 2009 Posts: 766

I agree that shoving with the third queen here seems odd for a donkish player and I'd find it hard to give him credit for it too. You're ahead of his range, have great odds and still have a few outs to hit if he does show up with it.

I don't check this flop unless I have a reliable read that he'll try to bluff me off it.

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