BATTLE CLIPS

1. Ukrainians storm trench and take a prisoner
2. Bradley fires on a position, then uses smoke to cover its retreat
3. Russian drone jamming station disguised as a tree
4. Half hour of footage from 47th after they were moved from Robotyne to Avdiivka








1. "More wives of Russian soldiers begging the the Czar to at least allow their wounded or maimed husband to be hospitalized before going back on assault."
2. Meduza article "Wives of Russian draftees say the FSB is harassing their husbands on the front line"





1. 11 men receive military summons as they receive their citizenship
2. Nepal citizen talks about how he was scammed into joining the Russian military
3. Moldovan Prime Minister complains Russia is trying to recruit cannon fodder from Moldova







1. BBC article on the misinformation repeated in congress about aid being used to buy yachts as well as Zelenskyy's wife using aid to buy expensive jewelry
2. Russian talking about how Finns are Nazis after they sign defence agreement with USA
3. Propagandist about how Putin's promised Leningrad Military District in response to Finland joining NATO should terrify Finns
4. Propagandists discussing how Finland's golden age is now over since their men and women will be raped by USA soldiers
5. Putin saying he never had problems with Finland, but does now that USA "dragged them into" NATO
6. GOOD READ Fortune magazine article "‘Parroting Putin’s propaganda’: The business exodus over Ukraine was no Russian bonanza" covers a lot about Russia's economy while addressing the misinformation in this article:

7. Russian newspaper about returning to Soviet era
8. Ukraine is a territory of Russia and needs to be shut down
9. Roger Waters talking a lead Russian propagandist on their state TV
10. Oliver Stone struggling to believe there's proof that Putin has assassinated a journalist










Reuters article "US Senate will not finish Ukraine, border deal this year"











SANCTIONS

1. NYT article "Chinese Traders and Moroccan Ports: How Russia Flouts Global Tech Bans"
2. Reuters article "Exclusive: Turkey saves $2 billion on Russian oil as imports soar despite sanctions"


https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/19/t...tech-bans.html
https://www.reuters.com/business/ene...ns-2023-12-18/









Atlantic Council article "2024 preview: The West must decide if it wants Ukraine to win"







RUSSIAN WAR CRIMES

1. Children who returned to Ukraine discuss kidnapping and torture by Russians
2. Russia has begun dropping anti-riot gas, banned by United Nations' Chemical Weapons Convention, on Ukrainians
3. Human Rights Watch article "Russia Forces Ukrainians in Occupied Areas into Military"
4. Russians destroying Ukrainian books to rewrite history











Putin's former advisor says the invasion was a mistake, Putin probably believes this too, and 700k dead

1. Anders Puck Nielsen on the "meat wave" attacks:
2. Interesting to watch the first 2 minutes of this clip while taking into account the first video:










RUSSIAN SANCTIONS AND ECONOMY

1. Russian newspaper reports that the Russian economic growth is due to military spending, and not actual growth, Chinese cars flood the economy, wage rises are ended, and tough times are ahead
2. 8 tankers are stalled, holding 5 million barrels of oil, due to sanctions
3. GREAT READ A look at Russia's 2023 after new inofmration came out in December. Looks at impact of a weak rouble, sanctions, oil trade, defense spending, secret spending and more
4. 20 minute video on Russia cutting back oil production again, even as prices fall, OPEC's problems with impacting the oil prices due to non OPEC companies







RUSSIAN WAR CRIMES AND HUMAN RIGHTS OFFENSES

1. The Guardian article "‘It’s the time you’re meant to be with your family’: the continuing plight of Ukrainian PoWs" about families waiting to hear about their loved ones and torture Ukrainian POWs suffer

2. Masked police drag school teacher off for singing Ukrainian song in school








RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA

1. 16 page report on Russia's "narrative laundering" technique to conceal the original source of misinformation, and a look at DC Weekly, a Russian propaganda site run by an ex US marine (report PDF is at the top)
2. France24 article "No, Ukraine's Zelensky did not buy a lavish mansion in Florida" showing a short video on this misinformation
3. The "highly acclaimed" journalist who wrote about Zelenskyy's yacht purchases is fake
4. 'Since 24 February 2022, Russian state news agency RIA Novosti has published the sentence "Russia is exclusively striking military infrastructure" 11,628 times'
5. Kremlin propagandist argues that mothers who are angry about their sons treatment in the military are malicious organizations and if a country has enough migrants in Russia then Russia has the right to take over that country, no one will dare to stop Russia after have a parade in Kyiv








COMPENSATION

1. NYT article "U.S. and Europe Eye Russian Assets to Aid Ukraine as Funding Dries Up" Covers a bunch of stuff like why Putin didn't pull these funds out before the invasion, dilemma on whether it could be used for arming Ukraine, whether there is precedence, and why some are reluctant to open this can of worms
2. FT article "The legal case for seizing Russia’s assets" focuses on where the funds are, legal grounds for this, and what different countries are proposing



https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/21/u...s-ukraine.html
https://www.ft.com/content/adb09fd6-...4-806814b4c9b4

BATTLE CLIPS

1, Another huge explosions from TOS 1A
2. Large Russian assault in snow




UKRAINE RECRUITMENT

1. BBC article "Ukraine war: Male citizens living abroad to be asked to join army"
2. Reuters article "Ukraine's citizen army struggles with a hidden enemy: combat stress"


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67787173.amp
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...ss-2023-12-20/





DNIPRO

1. Ukraine claims is shot down 3 Russian su-34 bombers that were attacking the bridgehead at Krynky
2. Zelenskyy on shooting down the 3 bombers
3. Early analysis
4. No bombings in this area the day after







1. Zelenskyy on initial F16 delivery
2. Russia claims they are already in Ukraine (some conspiracy theories that F16s destroyed the 3 Russian bombers, which is totally ridiculous)







FT article "US threatens sanctions on banks that help fund Russia’s war machine"






Long WSJ article on Patrushev, who warned Putin about Prig's growing influence, and planned Prig's assassination. Gets into a lot of how he became one of Putin's main advisors







Hour long CSIS talk about the state of the war and where it's headed in 2024

BATTLE CLIPS


1. GRAPHIC 1 Ukrainian against 6 Russians in close combat until a drone comes to help
2. "Video of an unsuccessful assault by Russia’s 155th Naval Infantry Brigade on Novomikhailovka with BMP-3 and an MT-LB. The naval infantrymen dismount after their BMP-3 hits a mine. They would retreat after coming under mortar + SAF."
3. Failed Russian assault
4. Construction of Ukrainian fortifications






DNIPRO


1. Geolocated videos around Krynky, read comments for the key
2. Analysis of the bridgehead
3. Anders Puck Nielsen on the 3 lost bombers here as well as other recent aircraft losses (He actually suggests that this could be F16s, which would be surprising imo)








UKRAINIAN CORRUPTION

Head of a department for Ukraine's MoD is arrested over pocketing money after purchasing artillery shells for too much:







EU

1. Guardian article "West must rearm in the face of Russian threat, urges Poland’s foreign minister"
2. FT article "Viktor Orbán vows to stand firm against EU funding for Ukraine"
3. Finland proposes a Plan B to get funding to Ukraine









WAR CRIMES

Russia targets third humanitarian aid station near Kherson





RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA

1. Russia spreading fake info about downed F16s
2. Russian propagandist poisoned
3. A sample of his work where he suggest Ukrainian grannies want to be raped by Russian soldiers and Russians should drown Ukrainian children
4. another Russian propaganda video uses Ukraine footage

CRIMEA

1. Large explosions in Crimea
2. Satellite imagery Ukraine claims shows that another Black Sea Fleet ship has been sunk
3. Different view of the explosion
4. UK Secretary of State for Defence on the importance
5. Hodges arguing for increased aid because of this
6. Chart showing Russia's Black Sea Fleet losses




NATO

1. Turkey apparently allowing Sweden into NATO







EU

1. FT article "EU readies €20bn plan B to fund Ukraine"

BATTLE CLIPS

1. Russian tank with anti-UAV screen
2. Bradley 25mm
3. Russian FPV strikes at night using night optics








RUSSIAN ECONOMY

1. Reuters article "Payment woes delay supply of Russian Sokol oil to India -sources"
2. Reuters article "Russia splashes $12 billion to keep aviation sector in the air"







FROZEN FUNDS

FT article "Washington puts forward G7 plan to confiscate $300bn in Russian assets"









1. Russian media shows the "liberation" of Maryinka, a now completely destroyed town, and compare it to conquering Berlin during WW2:
2. "Meanwhile, Russia has already issued a postmark dedicated to the “liberated” city of Marinka. A postmark for a city that they themselves razed to the ground."

RUSSIA'S WINTER STRIKE

1. Russia fired 158 missiles at Ukraine who knocked down 114 of them. A breakdown of what exactly was fired is in the comments
2. Zelenskyy on Russia's large attack across Ukraine
3. Another video from Zelenskyy
4. Biden's statement about the attack
5. Pic of the maternity ward
6. Video from a high rise
7. Shopping Center that was hit
8. USA ambassador to Ukraine shows the air raid alerts from a phone
9. Explosions in Kyiv
10. At least 30 killed and 160 injured
11. Video from the ground of some of the destruction
12. Ukrainian talks about what they do when the strikes are happening
13. Another
14. Another
15. After being attacked for their articles on Ukraine giving concessions to Russia, NYT does not feature the attack
16. Russian propagandist on the strikes, claiming they were striking NATO bases and other military targets


1-6


7-11



12-16

STRIKES IN RUSSIA

1. Explosions in Bryansk and Belgorod
2. Footage from Russia telegram channels
3. Bryansk microelectronics factory allegedly hit
4. BBC article "Ukraine war: Kremlin says 20 dead after attack on Russian city" covers the accusations from both sides regarding the dead civilians
5. UK response to Russia complaining about strikes in Belgorod


6. NYT article "Ukraine, Stalled on the Front, Steps Up Sabotage, Targeting Trains"






ASSASSINATIONS

1. Ally of Putin falls from window
2. Russian "Egg King" survives assassination attempt





RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA

1. GOOD READ EU vs Disinfo on common Russian propaganda during 2023
2. Propagandist suggests that due to rising price of eggs people are switching to beef which is more expensive (5 minutes long, but the entire segment is actually very good)
3. Russian propaganda video from 2021 lays out plan for attacking Baltic states in NATO which is exactly the strategy that Russia employed in the Donbas in 2014
4. Medvedev announces several Ukrainian cities are Russian and Ukraine needs a regime change
5. The Diplomat article "China and Russia Are Trying to Stack the Deck in 2024 Elections"
6. CNN article "‘Almost naked’ celebrity party at Moscow nightclub sparks fierce backlash"







RUSSIAN ECONOMY

GREAT READ CREA article "November 2023 — Monthly analysis on Russian fossil fuel exports and sanctions"



https://energyandcleanair.org/novemb...and-sanctions/








RUSSIANS AGAINST THE WAR

1. The Guardian article "Moscow court hands long jail terms to two men for reciting poetry"
2. WAPO article "Russia’s military wives emerge as wild card to Putin’s triumphal mood"


3. Reuters article "Anti-war candidate barred from running against Putin lodges appeal"




https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...eciting-poetry
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world...in-reelection/
https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...al-2023-12-26/








RUSSIAN WAR CRIMES

AP article "Russia covered up and undercounted true human cost of floodings after dam explosion, AP investigation finds"


https://apnews.com/article/russia-uk...91548794f03a3c









NYT article "President Biden: What America Will and Will Not Do in Ukraine" where he says he is not pressuring Ukraine to sign a peace deal, contrary to reports from anonymous sources


https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/31/o...-strategy.html

RUSSIA'S WINTER STRIKE

1. Missile is struck and falls into water (can see how even a struck missile still kills
2. Breakdown of types of missiles fired and which were neutralized
3. Zelenskyy on today's attack
4. Ukraine's Minister of Foreign Affairs on Russia's massive missile strike today
5. another assessment of the strike







CASUALTIES

1. GREAT READ BBC Russia article "The Year of the “Meatgrinder”. What we know about Russia’s war losses in 2023" about the importance of Prig's strategy to use convicts, the importance of Russia's mobilization, and their overall strategy of who becomes cannon fodder (If the article is too long, then at least scroll down and take a look at the very informative graph)




2. 30 minute BBC video on the Russia's elite "Black Berets" who were wiped out in a poorly executed attempt to take Vuhledar
3. UK MOD says average daily losses for Russia increased by 300 for 2023










BLACK SEA

1. Analysis of Russian sources on the most recent ship sunk by a Storm Shadow
2. Civilian vessel hits Russian mine in Black Sea
3. USA ambassador to Ukraine on the amount of exports through the Black Sea










PEACE TALKS

1. Long thread on the difference between Russia wanting "negotiations" and Russia wanting "to negotiate"
2. ISW on Russian rhetoric clearly indicating they are not willing to negotiate
3. ISW on the recent massive attack on Ukraine indicating that their goals remain unchanged







WAR CRIMES

1. ISW on Russia deploying a Ukrainian POW battalion
2. NYT article "UKRAINE’S STOLEN CHILDREN"





3. GREAT READ Full translation of the interview with ex-GRU officer, ex-Wagner, involved in the various war crimes in Donbas in 2014






On the DNR and LNR which Russia claims they were not involved in forming:



On the battle at Donetsk airport:

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. Ukrainian tanks firing on Russian positions from close position
2. ATGM hits tank
3. Bradley attacking a treeline
4. Forbes article "Killing Russians By The Truckload Around Avdiivka, Ukraine’s M-2 Fighting Vehicles Are Showing How Russia Loses—And Ukraine Wins" (Mostly about Avdiivka but discusses how Bradley are used too)
5. Russia brags about new counterbattery system which can detect incoming artillery strikes then has it destroyed hours later
6. Analysis at the type of intel gained from intercepting Russian missiles






STRIKES INSIDE RUSSIA

1. Hangar with fuel burning in Moscow
2. More explosions in Belgorod








SANCTIONS

1. Germany signs gas deal with Norway, essentially completely cutting out Russia for years
2. FT article "China’s advanced machine tool exports to Russia soar after Ukraine invasion"
3. A look at 3000 components in Russian drones and missiles reveals only 14 come from Russia, they rest come from other countries
4. Chinese exports of transportation equipment up 800% since the start of the war
5. Kyiv Independent article "Kyrgyzstan's trade is booming as Russia masters sanctions circumvention"





SOLDIERS SPEAKING

1.Russian soldiers discussing how their commander threatened to kill them if he was not paid after learning they would be paid by the state for being wounded in combat
2. Russian soldier at the Dnipro discussing the situation there







RUSSIAN ESPIONAGE

1. Guardian article "Tory blushes deepen over activities of Conservative Friends of Russia" looking at how a spy was wooing British politicians in 2012
2. WAPO article "Russia is working to subvert French support for Ukraine, documents show"




NATO

GREAT READ "New Year’s Speech by President of the Republic of Finland Sauli Niinistö on 1 January 2024"






MILITARY AID

Euromaidan Press article "With billions invested, Ukraine-EU defense cooperation gains momentum" on the evolution of military aid sent to Ukraine and where it is heading

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. Large explosion of a Russian mortar system
2. GRAPHIC (bottom left video)Ukraine repels columns near Kharkiv with artillery and cluster munitions
3. Drone strike against Russian soldiers standing near stopped tanks
4. Impact of quadcopters in Ukraine
5. Pics of a portable EW kit
6. Russian artillery strikes
7. GREAT WATCH Video with translations showing how a Russian armored column is destroyed







NATO

1. Plans for a Nato-Ukraine council meeting to discuss the recent air strike campaign by Russia
2. NATO Support and Procurement Agency (NSPA) on acquiring up to 1000 Patriot missiles to defend Ukraine








MILITARY AID


1. WSJ article on Biden's choice to limit Ukraine's strike capabilities
2. Hodges on the importance of ATACMS and Taurus
3. Foreign Correspondant for The Economist pointing out how Germany's argument that they won't provide Taurus missiles because "They wouldn't be a game changer" makes 0 sense
4. German parliament member saying Taurus are not provided because they would be too effective
5. Forbes article arguing to cut corners with production and make 155mm shells less effective in order to produce more
6. Reuters article on EU falling short of the 1 million promised shells for Ukraine
7. Defense One article on why USA has been able to up production of shells so much quicker than EU





1. Zelenskyy on the largest prisoner exchange (I think) since the start of the war with 230 civilians and military
2. Breakdown of which Ukrainians were freed

BATTLE CLIPS


GRAPHIC Air burst FPV drone









R Politik report on Ukraine for 2023 and predictions for 2024. 24 pages, summary on page 3 is worth reading if that's too much

https://rpolitik.com/wp-content/uplo...2-130-2023.pdf













Overview of the various fronts and what is likely to happen in 2024

















RUSSIA'S WINTER STRIKE

1. UK MOD on number of missiles used and targets
2. Russian cruise missile hits a Russian village
3. Russian propagandist calls Ukrainians for the strike before realizing it was a Russian missile





STRIKES INSIDE RUSSIA

1. Belgorod citizens complaining that bomb shelters are locked
2. Maria Avdeeva on the strikes killing civilians







RUSSIAN ELECTION

Yekaterina Duntsova, disqualified from running for president, gives a New Year address asking Russians to reclaim their agency







COMPENSATION

GREAT LISTEN 20 minutes on legality of seizing and dispersing the 300 billion seized from Russia







CASUALTIES

18 year old Russian soldier killed, wearing a neo-Nazi symbol. A look at Russia loosening requirements for joining the military/mobilization and allowing younger people to join





NORTH KOREA AND IRAN

1. John Kirby says N Korean ballistic missiles have been fired
2. Map where it was launched
3. WSJ article "Russia Moves Forward With Plans to Buy Iranian Ballistic Missiles"






RECRUITMENT

1. Ukraine claims Putin's political party has formed its own PMC consisting of"ultras"
2. Ukraine claims Russia is no longer giving leave to injured Russians as they desert too often

MILITARY AID

1. WSJ graph showing artillery fires during the counteroffensive and now
2. French journalist claims The West is scared of Russian collapse after a strategic defeat and the goal was to stalemate
3. NYT article on the high cost of Patriot missiles and how Ukraine is running out







ISW on potential for Russia renewing attempts to take Kupyansk









RUSSIA'S WINTER STRIKE

Anders Puck Nielsen on Russia's strategy this year, why so many missiles hit civilian targets, and what Russia is attempting to accomplish







STRIKES INSIDE RUSSIA

BBC article "Ukraine war: Russians find no shelter in border city of Belgorod": air raid sirens began 30 minutes into the attack, air raid shelters were locked. At start of the war the air raid shelters were hidden from the population so Ukraine wouldn't strike them


https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-67880239




RECRUITMENT


1. A look at the issues regarding mobilization in Ukraine: rich being exempt, lack of money to increase wages, politicians less likely to be mobilized
2. Reuters article "Nepal halts work permits for Russia, Ukraine after soldiers killed"
3. UK MOD on Moscow Government Security Force, a new paramilitary in response to Wagner's march on Moscow
4. NYT article "To Bolster Russia’s Army, Putin Eases Citizenship Path for Foreign Fighters"










SANCTIONS

GREAT WATCH Overview of Russian exporting oil to India: history of why India was not importing before sanctions and why they started; problems with sanctions on tankers; currency problems; Iraq undercutting Russia's prices; recent fall of sales from 2.2 mill a day to 1.7










CRIMEA

1. BBC article "Ukraine war: Atesh, the group spying on Russians in occupied Crimea"
2. Ukraine claims strike on ammo warehouse in Crimea
3. Analysis of strike on Russian HQ in Crimea (if you read that Gerasimov was killed in a strike, which was originally a joke, it was from this strike)









RUSSIAN WAR CRIMES


EuroMaidan article "Ombudsman: Recent prisoner swap exposes torture against Ukrainian POWs"








Reuters article "Exclusive: Russian hackers were inside Ukraine telecoms giant for months" on the hacking of Kyivstar in December


https://www.reuters.com/world/europe...ef-2024-01-04/

Bleh lost my post.




MILITARY AID

The Drive "Russia May Have Started Using Jet-Powered Shahed Drones In Ukraine" on Russia using Iran's new drone







RUSSIA'S WINTER STRIKE

Breakdown of what Ukraine anti air defense was able to shoot down in Russia's most recent attack





CRIMEA

1. UK MOD on "Rosgvardia"
2. Kyiv Post article "Moscow Deploys 35,000 National Guards to Counter Partisans in Occupied Ukraine" on the Rosgvardia in Crimea




STRIKES IN RUSSIA

Various videos of strikes in Belgorod








SANCTIONS AND RUSSIAN ECONOMY


1. EU sanctions a Russian diamond company
2. GOOD READ Foreign Affairs article "Putin’s Unsustainable Spending Spree"

3. The Times article "Putin resorts to bribing workers to stem Russia’s brain drain"









DNIPRO

Andrew Perpetua on Krynky: why it's difficult for Russia to dislodge the marines here; how Ukrainian drone groups operate; Ukraine's potential goals; Ukraine's difficulties with holding the area






[QUOTE=Bluegrassplayer;58397018]
6. CNN article "‘Almost naked’ celebrity party at Moscow nightclub sparks fierce backlash"

https://edition.cnn.com/2023/12/28/e...ntl/index.html
[/SPOIL]
[QUOTE]

Rapper who attended this does 25 days in prison then gets added to military registry








WSJ article "Putin Sends Nukes to Belarus"

https://www.wsj.com/articles/russia-...putin-a87df19d

SOLDIERS SPEAKING

1. Mobilized Russians talking about the horrible conditions
2. Serbian mercenary complaining about how Serbians were treated after signing up to fight for Russia
3. More Serbians speaking out




STRIKES IN RUSSIA

Drone attack on oil depot 170km into Russia







CRIMEA

1. UK MOD on recent Crimean strikes and what it means about Russian air defense
2. Forbes article "Ukraine’s Funniest Joke: Waiting Until Russia’s New Strategic Supply Bridge Was Almost Built, Then Blowing It Up With Rockets"




DNIPRO

Russian complaining about the rate of loss of equipment sent to assault Krynky





WAR CRIMES

Russian BBC article “We have come to rescue you.” How Ukrainians disappear in Russian colonies



https://www.bbc.com/russian/articles/cgekzjykvpko





ORBAN

Politico on Orban's strategy regarding offering to lift the veto but assess it every year






RUSSIAN ECONOMY

FT graph showing Russia's European gas market share






SANCTIONS

RUSI article "Hammer Time: When US Sanctions Patience Ran Out" on USA finally telling banks ‘those who are supplying goods or processing transactions that materially support Russia’s military industrial base are complicit in Russia’s brutal violation of Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity'.


https://rusi.org/explore-our-researc...tience-ran-out

BATTLE CLIPS

Drone vs drone combat








RUSSIAN ECONOMY

Joe Blogs video "RUSSIAN Ruble Collapse Damaging Workforce - 5 Million Shortage of Workers as Migrants Stay at Home" on the labor shortage and inflation




SANCTIONS

Poland's exports to Belarus falls after war began but are now at an all time high





RECRUITMENT

Ukrainians capture a Somalian fighting for Russia







RUSSIAN ELECTION

Russian presidential candidate says his goal for the election is to not be jailed.







KHARKIV

1. Russia strikes a children's center
2. Missile strikes hotel in Kharkiv that journalists frequent




DNIPRO

milblogger Rybar complaining about Krynky:







EU

1. Politico article "Breton aims for ‘huge’ €100B defense fund"
2. "Ukraine Foreign Minister Dmytro Kuleba: ‘Putin does not want a frozen conflict, or peace’"








NPR article "Russian-occupied area of Moldova blames Ukrainian militants for explosions"

https://www.npr.org/2022/04/26/10948...ukraine-russia

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. Various HIMARS strikes:
2. Russian assault group gets hit by a cluster bomb then struggles to figure out who is firing at them, really captures the chaos
3. Ft article "Military briefing: Russia has the upper hand in electronic warfare with Ukraine"
4. Kyiv Independent article "Military intelligence claims capture of Russian drone producer's classified data"









MILITARY AID

1. Long thread looking at western manufactured artillery barrels, why they are expensive and take a long time to manufacture
2. Bloomberg article "US Set to Push Zelenskiy at Davos for Clearer War Plan"










CRIMEA

Russian logistics being built to relieve reliance on the Kerch bridge.







RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA

1.ISW on ultra patriotic milbloggers and why they are a complication for the Kremlin
2. Russian oligarch runs huge ad campaign on Facebook about Moldova belonging to Russia
3. Russian newspaper quotes Dugin on how repressions in Russia are inevitable
4. Russian propaganda in Belgorod used to suggest that Russia is defending in a war similar to WW2.
5. article "UNMASKING VIKTOR ORBÁN’S POLISH PROPAGANDIST" on a Polish Useful Idiot running propaganda for Orban in Poland





RECRUITMENT

1. Thread on Russia's use of African mercenaries
2. HQ of a Russian regiment that is recruiting from Nepal burns down



UKRAINE ECONOMY

1. Kyiv Indepedent article "Turkey, Romania, Bulgaria sign deal on Black Sea mine clearance"
2. Reuters article "Ukraine producing more drones than state can purchase, minister says"
3. Reuters article "World Bank's IFC has mobilised nearly $1 bln for Ukraine - managing director"









SANCTIONS

FT article "Moscow imports a third of battlefield tech from western companies"


https://www.ft.com/content/96c4f3f8-...6-7280490a3dbb

BATTLE CLIPS

1. Rare footage of a Ukrainian ground drone (recently declassified probably)
2. Rare footage of tank vs tank battle, Bradley vs T90, T90 loses control after the battle
3. Drone vs drone






MILITARY AID

1. BBC article "Sunak vows that Ukraine will never be alone as he pledges £2.5bn package" on UK signing a security agreement with Ukraine until they are able to join NATO
2. Zelenskyy on the agreement





DNIPRO

UK MoD on Ukraine using drones and artillery to destroy heavy equipment across the river




RUSSIAN ECONOMY

Oilprice article "Russian’s Oil and Gas Revenues Dip by 24% in 2023"


https://oilprice.com/Latest-Energy-N...4-in-2023.html



EU

Petition to remove Orban's voting rights in the EU

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. Ukrainians clearing a Russian trench
2. Krynky fighting
3. Army Recognition article "Breaking News: Two Ukrainian Bradley M2A2 IFVs Destroy Russian T-90M Tank in Close-Quarter Combat" on how the Bradleys managed to take out a T90
4. Russians showing off their new headlamps






RUSSIA'S WINTER STRIKE

Analysis of what was fired and what hit during Russia's medium-sized strike yesterday






RUSSIAN WAR CRIMES

ISW on Russia's increasingly frequent use of chemical weapons







RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA

1. GREAT WATCH Excellent piece on Russian disinformation. How they run narratives like "you could have had peace in 2022" as they are escalating violence. How they constantly broke their peace agreements and blamed Ukraine. How they enact "slow" or "stealth" genocide which is a narrative that Ukrainians were committing genocide as an excuse to enact genocide upon Ukrainians. How Russia takes advantage of the current journalist landscape where they report on what is happening at this exact moment, and the consumer is the one who has to delve into it and see if it's actually true. Communication techniques used by Putin and Zelenskyy. NAFO, memes, battling disinformation. How Russia spreads many narratives so that there's something to appeal to everyone.
2. Guardian article "Russia designates popular writer a foreign agent over Ukraine stance"









RUSSIAN ECONOMY

1. A look at price of food in grocery stores
2. Wildberries (online retailer) warehouse burning in St Petersburg
3. Different angle









RECRUITMENT

1. Bild claims Russia has turned off heating in prisons to force prisoners to enlist
2. article "Zelenskyy visiting Estonia: We need those who fled abroad to return to Ukraine"
3. The Drive article "Ukraine Situation Report: Kyiv’s Mobilization Plan Stalled By Parliament"








MILITARY AID

1. Ukrainians using 40 year old artillery talking about the importance of high quality artillery:
2. Forbes article "Russia Needs Fresh Artillery Barrels, Bad. It’s Yanking Them Off Old Guns By The Thousand."







CRIMEA

Business Insider article "Female saboteurs who poisoned 46 Russian soldiers in Crimea are on the run after shoot-out with police, say reports" (Very likely fake, but the story of them poisoning the soldiers has been going around for awhile, and now this)

https://www.businessinsider.com/2-wo...rce=reddit.com








Newsweek article "Two Dozen Russian Helicopters Downed in One Day with 'Secret Weapon'—Kyiv"

https://www.newsweek.com/26-russian-...lensky-1860250

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. Ukraine claims to have taken down to very expensive Russian aircraft
2. Cost of one of the aircraft
3. EW in Ukraine used against missiles








RUSSIAN WAR CRIMES

1. GREAT READ Reuters article "How Russian officials and their collaborators spirit away Ukraine’s children" Most in depth article I've read covering Russia's kidnapping, brainwashing, and use of Ukrainian children as propaganda tools

2. EuroMaidan Press article "Ukraine condemns Russia’s citizenship decree for displaced children"









MILITARY AID

1. Anders Puck Nielsen video "Why Ukraine can't provide a clear strategy to Mike Johnson" Cliffs: Catch 22 where Ukraine can't know what strategy to go with until they know what resources they have; it's a constant back and forth plan that is constantly under revision
2. ISW on Ukraine expanding its defense industry
3. Full report from ISW







RUSSIA'S WINTER STRIKE

FT article "Missiles from Iran and North Korea boost Russia’s onslaught on Ukraine" Great graphic on this page showing the missiles and drones used on January 7, all the strikes have been similar. Below that is another great graphic showing why Ballistic missiles are so dangerous


https://www.ft.com/content/1d1eb1dd-...2-23a219de5d77







RUSSIAN ECONOMY

1. GOOD LISTEN In Moscows' Shadow "It's All About Putin's Eggs" on Russia's economy, how it's struggling but necessarily in ways that make headlines, and the egg crisis as an indicator of the overall economy and a symbolic issue which needs to be fixed
2. UK MOD on Russian healthcare struggling to treat civilians as majority of resources are sent to Ukraine








PEACE TALKS

Zelenskyy on the meeting at Davos







COMPENSATION


Bloomberg article "Russia Prepares Legal Battle to Stall Seizure of Frozen Reserves"

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/artic...rozen-reserves

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. GREAT WATCH Ryan McBeth analyzes an ambush of a Russian convoy
2. Drone vs plane and drone vs drone video
3. Ukrainian shooting at a drone from the back of a vehicle followed by a near hit from a drone
4. Russian dodges a drone
5. Drone vs drone combat





MILITARY PRODUCTION AND MILITARY AID

1. GOOD READ Main Directorate of Intelligence of the Ministry of Defence of Ukraine's (HUR) Vadym Skibitsky's report on Russia covering artillery production, missile and drone production, recruitment efforts, winter strike campaign,
2. Economist article "Can Europe arm Ukraine—or even itself?"
3. ISW on European countries helping Ukraine's defense industry







SANCTIONS

1. Bloomberg article "China Banks Tighten Curbs on Russia After US Sanctions Order"










DNIPRO

In depth look at Krynky




RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA

1. Billboard in Russia of Putin with the quote “Russia’s borders do not end anywhere.”
2. 5th fake BBC video
3. Russian MFA confused on how hands work







PEACE TALKS

Zelenskyy at Davos on when the war will end, WW3, and negotiation










NATO

GOOD READ What a NATO war with Russia would look like, why showing a lack of resolve encourages it









ORBAN

Petition to strip Orban of voting rights submitted








Interview with Ukraine's Vice Admiral Oleksii Neizhpapa on the start of the war, sinking the Moskva, sea drones, the grain corridor, and the Black Sea





Moscow Times article "White Scarves and Flowers: Wives and Mothers of Mobilized Soldiers Take Resentment to the Kremlin"

https://www.themoscowtimes.com/2024/...kremlin-a83720





Meduza article "Russian rapper who attended ‘almost naked’ party receives military summons after release from jail"

https://meduza.io/en/news/2024/01/16...ease-from-jail

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. Bradley firing at a BMP-2 at close range
2. Close up of the Bradley defeating the T90 at close range
3. Forbes article "Ukrainian Crews Set A Complex Missile Trap For Russia’s Best Radar Plane"






RUSSIAN PROTESTS

1. Moscow Times article on the cause of the protests in Bashkiria
2. Video of the protests
3. Another video
4. A woman asking soldiers from Bashkiria to abandon the war
5. Woman from Volgograd telling Russians to be against the war after she is fined for picketing









SANCTIONS

Russian newspaper reporting on problems caused by increased enforcement of sanctions







RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA

1. Atlantic Council article "Confident Putin boasts of Russian “conquests” in Ukraine" on Putin saying what he really is doing in Ukraine instead of using the word "liberate" as he normally does
2. Putin claiming Russians are returning to Russia because they can't handle unisex toilets






ORBAN

1. Politco article "EU confident of Orbán U-turn on allowing money to Ukraine"
2. Former PM of Belgium and European Parliament member asking EU if they will let Orban continue to blackmail the EU
3. article "EU Parliament wants Commission in court, Hungary stripped of voting rights"

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. Russian IFVs destroyed during assaults
2. Rob Lee's analysis of the Bradleys vs T90
3. GRAPHIC Drone strikes, including team strikes near Bakhmut







MILITARY AID AND PRODUCTION

1. Kyiv Independent article "Norway allocates $190 million to boost defense production for own needs, Ukraine"
2. WSJ article "Biden Accedes to Tougher Immigration Policy to Deflect Criticism, Secure Ukraine Aid"
3. Politico article "Macron to ‘finalize security deal’ during Ukraine visit"
4. Politico article "Slovakia enables arms exports to Ukraine as Fico completes backflip"
5. Zelenskyy standing next to downed Iranian drone after Iran claims there is no proof they provided military aid to Russia
6. Ukraine develops a jet powered drone
7. USA and France develop "artillery coalition" with Ukraine









UKRAINE ECONOMY

1. Insurance costs for ship cargo drop significantly
2. GOOD READ Analysis of Ukraine's victory in the Black Sea and opening their shipping avenues















RUSSIAN ECONOMY

1. UK MOD on 5th interest rate hike in Russia since July 2023

2. GREAT LISTEN Alexandra Prokopenko was on The Russian Contingency talking about this article. Since it's paywalled here are some highlights:

Putin's trilemma: must continue funding war, keep businesses running as usual, safeguarding macroeconomic stability. First two require high spending, high costs, high inflation which prevents the achievement of the third which requires the exact opposite.

Putin believes the Soviet Union collapsed due to poor economic budgeting, largely due to high defense spending. Currently Russia’s spending is not close to Soviet Union’s annual defense budget. (it’s still a debate if it was 12-16%) 8% is not sustainable, but the budget also shows that it will decline after 2024, so they clearly expect to begin winning this year. The guardrails that Putin always talked about to ensure macroeconomic stability have been removed. The system is a mess in many ways for business and regulators, exporting, central bank, everyone.

In short term time is on Russia’s side, but anything beyond 1 or 2 years it’s uncertain and long term Russia is very much going to struggle and will probably be going from crisis to crisis.

Picture looks stable for the economy now, but Russia still has a major manpower problem. Active debate on how many people they could recruit last year, anywhere from 25%-50% of their goal. It’s quite short of their quote and official numbers. It’s enough to sustain the force in Ukraine, but they can’t rotate the 300k men they initially mobilized. It’s a looming challenge they will probably have to address this year. This intertwines closely with the economy problem: labor market is tight, not enough workers, and they need to recruit more people. The more people they pull from the economy the more they exacerbate inflation. The economy is already maxed out, so if they pull more people from it inflation jumps. This also leads to a major output issue since the recent labor shortages and the industry is at its maximum capacity, the defense industry is working 3 shifts. Any surge in labor demand threatens to propel prices skyward due to lack of reserves for increased supply in the economy.

In theory Russia is a big country with a huge population, but in practice they’re all in use in the economy and they can’t really move so they aren’t really available. Population is not easily convertible to military power.

Previously when 300k men were mobilized, 500k left the country. If they try to mobilize 150k again, it’s possible 200k+ leave with them.






RUSSIAN PROTESTS

DW on the protests yesterday










COMPENSATION

RUSI article on using the frozen funds to rebuild Ukraine

https://rusi.org/explore-our-researc...argaining-chip







ORBAN

1. AP article "European Union institutions gear up for a fight over Orbán’s rule of law record, funds for Hungary"
2. Sarvamaa on his petition passing











RUSSIAN ELECTION

1. Girkin jailed for the maximum sentence
2. CNN article "Navalny tells Russian court of ‘freezing’ conditions inside his Arctic prison"









STRIKES IN RUSSIA

Ukraine uses long distance drone to strike oil field in St. Petersburg









DNIPRO

Romanov once again complaining about Krynky situation

BATTLE CLIPS AND ANALYSIS

1. Interview with Bradley crew that destroyed the T90
2. Armored vehicle rotates troops at the front
3. UK MOD on Russia's more conservative deployment of A50






MILITARY AID

GOOD READ Tatarigami writing for Euromaidan Press "Mapping North Korea’s discreet artillery ammo route to Russia"






STRIKES IN RUSSIA AND FIRES


1. Drone hits Bryansk oil field and Russian propaganda narrative around it
2. More videos
3. Gunpowder plant struck by drone
4. Construction market on fire in Russia






SOLDIERS SPEAKING

1. Chinese volunteer regrets joining Russian military
2. Somalian POW speaking about his experience






AVDIIVKA

Deep State and Ukrainian journalist on the worsening situation for Ukraine






RUSSIAN ECONOMY

Long thread on Russian scientists leaving Russia, resulting in the amount of papers produced being cut almost in half





RUSSIAN PROTESTS

Protests continue in Ufa, capital of Bashkortostan










SANCTIONS


US DOJ "Businessman Arrested for Scheme to Illegally Export Semiconductors and Other Controlled Technology to Russia"

https://www.justice.gov/opa/pr/busin...led-technology




GOOD READ FT article "‘Active defence’: how Ukraine plans to survive 2024". Good overview of where the war stands today. Starts with a soldier talking about the Dnipro crossing, good graphic showing Russia's equipment and personnel advantage

BATTLE CLIPS

1. Drone hits air defense system after air defense system misses the drone
2. Drone hits Russian tank





MILITARY PRODUCTION

1. Anders Puck Nielsen video "Can Russia win the military production race?" on GDP, PPP, military production
2. France claims French-German military production company will produce 350k 155mm shells by in 2025.






STRIKES IN RUSSIA AND FIRES


1. Oil depot on fire 900km from Ukraine border
2. More drone strikes on military production sites inside Russia




DNIPRO

UK MOD on Krynky





KHARKIV

Analysis of Russia capturing a town on the way to Kupiansk








RUSSIAN PROTESTS

Analysis of the recent protests




NATO

1. The Drive article "Baltics To Build Joint Fortifications Along Russian, Belarus Borders"
2. Slovak PM promises to block Ukraine's NATO entry