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Originally Posted by Menace ll Society
I don't understand why this is such an issue for so many? against regs, just being a semi-proficient hand reader allows you to guesstimate their range. why do you need to see exactly where they were in said range? all it does is allow you to be even more "results oriented."
there are several very different thought processes that get lumped under the umbrella term results oriented. for instance:
1) i got in KK against AA, which is a bad outcome, therefore i should have folded.
2) i played exceptionally and won $1k in aiEV but lost $1k in actual money, therefore i feel like a failure.
3) i witnessed a result to a hand. poker is a game of incomplete information, and there is a direct correlation (and, if applied correctly, causation) between how much of that information is filled in and how much a person is able to win. therefore, i won't discard this information but instead apply it in a bayesian manner to further dissect my opponent's ranges in the future.
1) and 2) are flawed thought processes while 3) is an accurate one, yet they all get conflated together by categorizing them all as results oriented.
unless you are bad at bayesian reasoning and/or are poor at leveling games and subject yourself to them, OF COURSE seeing more of your opponent's hole cards is going to help you. you WANT to see them and you WANT to be "results oriented" (can we come up with a different term for this?) about them in an intelligent, statistical manner. then you can move from guesstimating ranges to estimating ranges to pinpointing ranges.
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against fun players, what does it matter what they have? nothing they do makes much sense as is. you really need confirmation that they called down with a gutter, made third pair and now can't find a fold on the river? the guy is 37/10 or something, lol.
this is actually the most useful situation to see your opponent's hole cards. there is significantly more variation in fish play than reg play, so initial estimates of a fish's ranges are incredibly imprecise and there are more pieces of the puzzle to fill in. each showdown we see is more likely to fill in a piece of the puzzle against a fish than it is against a reg. additionally, fish are more likely to have glaring leaks lurking in the shadows, so the value of each additional puzzle piece against a fish is greater. if you see a fish call down with a gutter, that's INCREDIBLY useful information. some fish don't call down with gutters. some fish raise them. some fish wouldn't have called those cards preflop. etc etc. fwiw, i hate puzzles and regret using this analogy.
frankly it seems you are grossly undervaluing showdowns and are likely giving up a lot of money in doing so.